Matthew Gill

Give me a PM flow with a slider anyday compared to this shower rubbish from the east.

People never believe me when I tell them it snowed 3 miles to the west of me 3 miles to the north about 7 miles to the east and south and we got nothing lol

Remember 2010 when it snowed everywhere except Nuneaton, bedworth, and Hinckley?

You shall not pass!!

http://www.xcweather.co.uk/observations defiantly turning more east to west. The wind is really picking up as well. Near gale force gusts

Upgrade for cold yes but I'm not sure I agree about snow. It all seems to fade away before it gets here.

Oh it's been unhidden now lol

They removed my post on the model thread lol i dared to say tonight's run was a let down unless your south of the M4 lol

From the greatest of all blizzards to a flurry in the wind. What a let down if this run comes off. Unless your south of the M4

Challenge accepted

GFS going the way of the GEM and keeping the cold?

I'm not buying it let me down too many times

18z looking poor for snow from the front on Friday/ Saturday for the midlands

I'm backing the GEM got to love the underdog. Seriously tho it's showing the jet so far south. Wouldn't this allow all low pressure systems to to take a more southerly track? I know we have lost the highs to canada by t132 but by t204 it tries to build highs over scandi of 1020. With the surface cold holding the low pressure systems at bay, a south tracking jet not putting real pressure on the cold air and highs trying to build over scandi I think this could be the outcome. Very finely balanced tho. Or I might just be miss reading the entire situation

I'm cheering for the GEM

Ok the met office have lost the plot now. They are showing heavy snow tonight between 10pm and 1am here

Wouldn't you know it snow clouds both north and south of here. Just looked on the radar and a clear gap all the way to the wash with my name on it lol

Was my thinking as well. Maybe a little surprise later for some

With regard to the front tonight aka the polar low, just been looking on the latest satellite images from Norway and to my eye it seems to be tracking slightly south of where the models have been showing it. Any thoughts?

Heavy snow here now

Will that shower make it to Nuneaton lol. It's on track ?

Sounds about right. I don't ever hold out much hope for snow on a easterly. Cov, Nuneaton and bedworth only seem to do well from a frontal system from the s/w and then it has to be just right or it turns back to rain. We are just too far inland for showers to carry from the east or west from the Cheshire gap. The mountains of Wales get in the way from the west and the peak district to the north. Also the Warwickshire plane is quite low so we don't benefit from any high ground.

One too many for the gfs on the pub run I think. It'll probably wake up in the morning and see the 18z out put and think OMG what did I do last night.

Slightly further south maybe?

Ahhh trust the gfs to deal with a low pressure system like this while it does have a tendency to overdo theses things it cannot be ignored. It has been known to pick up on a early trend.