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Everything posted by Matthew Gill
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Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Greenland high? -
Model output discussion - mid January
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Another 50 miles south?- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The jet is not in a faverable position on the 12z only Scottish mountains for snow on Wednesday. Cold rain everywhere else.- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - mid-winter
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A real novice here. Am I right in my assumption that a warming in the strat means more pressure on the vortex which means more chance of cold blocking? Or have I got this totally wrong?- 2,572 replies
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Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-8 getting in there -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Because the jet seems to be about 100-200 miles further south on this run and tacking a more se track nearly missing the uk all the way through as opposed to the 12z where it roared across us. Wouldn't this allow the colder air to sink south and have less chance to get mixed out, so wouldn't-4 uppers be enough for snow to most places?? -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The angle of the jet is looking better imo. A few more adjustments in the coming days I think. -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The jet is now being forecast to go s/e past and over us instead of the split to the north from earliet -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The warm air pushing up from the med has really dispelled the cold uppers across all of Europe. -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes please. Never mind cold from the east I'll take this. Also I posted this model and got it blocked by robomod for some reason. -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That's why mums go to Iceland ? -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And Iceland gets blown away -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Does this chart show the a scandi high linking up with a high in the Atlantic and if so what would the outcome be?? -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like we should get some nice strong winds in this run. Especially for Scotland and maybe wales and the South West. -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
East coast and Scotland snow chance. Everywhere else cold rain? -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just learning about model reading but doesn't this show an Iceland high where there is usually a semi perminant low. Wouldn't this allow a blocking effect in the Atlantic all be it only briefly. Wouldn't this allow for a e/he over the uk? Or have I got this totally wrong? -
Model output discussion - into 2018
Matthew Gill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking through the models I'd take a n/nw anyday. To the east the models try to build cold but never really manage a sustained period. Looking to the north and nw I think offers more potential for cold and snow.