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Fourty Point Three Degrees

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Everything posted by Fourty Point Three Degrees

  1. Is it me or is GFS 12z just one belter of a run, Entering into June and HP well established across Scandi again with a warm to hot E'ly flow. FI (Fantasy Imagination) I know but this looks like a nice step into 1976 territory.
  2. I'm aware its in FI and its two weeks away and I'm aware FI should be took with a pinch of salt but I think you missed the part I said lots can change. This is model chat not High pressure chat.
  3. Lots could change but all recent GFS 18z. 00z and 06z gives June a dogs breakfast start with below average temps.
  4. looks pretty nationwide to me even scotland getting some warmth
  5. Its only middle of May!!!! Even the best classic summers of 1976, 1983 etc had their unsettled moments in Spring!! Take outliers with a huge lorry load of salt
  6. ECM 12z very nice but not as warm as the 00z but still dry and pleasant along with Azores and Scandi fighting it out for the UK. Fingers crossed it will continue with a good strong link up between the two because blocking like this can last well into September but I do have a gut feeling it will all go down the pan come June, Late May 2012 is an example of brilliant early summertime sypnotics being snatched away from under our noses. .
  7. With charts like these I wont be surprised if May comes off as one for the books regarding sunshine hours. Still looking very dry and pleasant, ECM 00z could certainly deliver the first 30C of the year over the BHW if it comes off
  8. NAO seems to be heading towards a more negative phase. Not a good sign heading into June as it increases the chance of high pressure development near Greenland. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index.html
  9. GFS 18z is a quite a dry and pleasant run, lots of HP around nothing too hot or humid. There is the threat of some rain but nothing to scream about.. Over in FI things get serious with a nice ridging of the Azores getting splattered right across the UK.
  10. Mick taking temps are becoming the norm in UK. Your better off migrating to Yakutsk in Russia if you don't like heat, although pretty much your cup of tea in winter but summers are generally chilled too around 15 to 20C.
  11. Meanwhile back on topic: Next Saturday GFS 6z is developing a dart board just South East off Greenland (948mb) . Good news for us that it aids the HP development across UK giving settled conditions with Nationwide temps around 21C
  12. ECM 00z FI turns into a horror show. Run generally good for SE but less so for N and the run ends with a vile 984mb dartboard low sat just North of Scotland throwing Autumn right into our face. Not what you'd expect to see at the end of Spring. . GFS was far more settled with another three day scorcher bank holiday weekend.
  13. The title of this thread should be renamed "Old skool summertime banter"
  14. I guess you missed the GFS 12Z op and ensembles from GFS towards a cooler and wetter regime North Western Wales which was chilly, cold and damp all the way though. The ECM 12Z op was also quite poor with a worrying mobile jet set up developing across the Atlantic. I think now summertime is approaching the models are spotting the '8' in 2018!!! http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&x=307&y=176
  15. Ahh yes 1976, the famous ladybird summer. I was only two years old so cant remember it but was told the roads, walls and pavements were covered in ladybirds just like snow covers the pavements in winter.
  16. At least you could get a thunderstorm back in 1980. Nowadays your lucky if you get a lightning strike!
  17. Some chilly daytime maxes for third week of May on the GFS 12z it was a cold outlier from mid-month with maxes in places dropping to about 7C below average.
  18. GFS 12z isn't looking good for second week of May. Looking depressingly cold, wet and windy mid week after the dry blip.
  19. ECM backing off a little today on the ECM0z as far as warmth is concerned as high 850s only get into the south for just one day only next Sunday.
  20. GFS is not too far behind the ECM on keeping LP away for some beautiful fresh early May sunshine. Temps could easily pick up and reach high 20's if those charts come off. Looks like Springtime is here at last
  21. Manchester had some good storms in both July 2014 and on July 1st 2015 both happened after sunset during darkness which enhances the fun
  22. Im not so sure now about a poor summer now given how awful this spring has been! Surely we have to break free any time soon from this vile sypnotic pattern. We always break free from vile patterns during the summer as soon as September rolls round, maybe on this occasion it will be June .
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