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Fourty Point Three Degrees

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Everything posted by Fourty Point Three Degrees

  1. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Current predictions and variables across the continent are flirting with the idea of a big heat wave in Europe for August. You better cross them fingers tight we don't lock into something SE'ly.
  2. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Well the 06z has backed down a little in my opinion but I'm hoping it picks back up if trends are there.
  3. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    You do moan a lot. Before bashing away on your next whinge about a bit of heat, pause a thought for those living in hotter climates who have to endure highs of 45 to 50C every day all summer long then consider just how lucky you are living in Skelmersdale If a few days of 'humid muck' is too much then buy air conditioning or a fan. Clearly your a weather watcher so then surely if you can see a heatwave coming before most people then why not prepare yourself for a melting?
  4. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Models already suggesting 582DAM over Spain and then spreading into France. This could turn into a very severe heat wave on our side of the continent and with the right wind flows and dragging up some heat from the SE then 40C is not out of the question. Interesting times ahead.
  5. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Hmmmm GFS 12z says a repeat of July 2013 all over again.....
  6. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Is that person a member on here?
  7. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Id say its a far too early for an Autumn thread. I remember the Spring discussion thread was closed when somebody opened one in January?
  8. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    1) Congratulations would you like a medal for making that observation 2) and 3) Its GFS and GFS is a model whether 6, 12, 18z and this is model discussion 4) The chart which was posted could deliver the temps in the range I suggested 5) Still doesn't mean it wont come off
  9. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Mid 20's to 30°C and increasing each day
  10. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    is GFS 18z for real??
  11. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Following the awful GFS 06z, The 12z picks itself up and starts chasing those wonderful MO updates as the jet finally attempts to switch to a more SW/NE direction post 16th and offering a nice warm/hot summery looking end for all.
  12. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Because you'd be able to build a snowman
  13. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Take no notice of GFS and MO long range as neither will come off. Statistically speaking, whenever does a positive long range forecast come off? Just like almost all models had eyes on a "hot and dry" first half of summer that failed to fully materialise. I can't believe I fell for it. Too much attention gets paid to models in the 10+ day range when the even the 3 day range cant even be resolved. I wonder which model will be the first to drop the idea of this warm settled spell?
  14. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Dont rub it in. Just remember those up North can get a decent nights sleep without sticking to their mattress. But then again you don't want to hear that do you?
  15. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Further ahead models have been showing a rise in HP by the end of month which slowly crosses the country eastwards and the Jet Stream is pushed north. Met Office updates also been saying a rise in HP by months end.
  16. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    This North/South temperature contrast is getting worse every year. There should NEVER be a 10C difference between London & Manchester especially in July. It never used to be like this in the 80/90s.
  17. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Straw clutching? Both ECM and GFS were poor with a suggested unsettled and cooler period being most likely next week. ECM ends with vile 850s and a very autuminal 997mb low in the SE
  18. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Autumn begins at the equinox so make that 77 days, plus a further 31 days to allow for a possible 'summer bites back' scenario (Indian summer) should there be one
  19. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    oh dear what a mess...
  20. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    You live in Skelmersdale overlooking the fresh and cool Atlantic so how does SE affect you?
  21. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    We have a weakening Atlantic dominating weather pattern until around 16th and some real tasty uppers not too far way so expect a plumey July and with a lot of record heat on the continent who knows what will come post 16th. My hunch is that something severe and short lived will occur along the lines of Aug 1990.
  22. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    June 2015
  23. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Remember about the same length of time before the end of May and ecm was showing worse.
  24. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Bet all that rain and wind was very refreshing after all that heat.
  25. Fourty Point Three Degrees
    Some nice improvements are now showing in the models which is good news.
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