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It shows how pants the two easterlies were here last year when a 30 minute spell of snow on a westerly gives just as much!

Big fluffy flakes here, laying on all surfaces, woohoo!

Just a small reminder, as there's so many one-liners in here that we cant keep up: PLEASE USE THE MODEL BANTER THREAD Thanks

Yes, they did. We have rules on no politics discussion so any posts on such matters will go without warning.

It has certainly been a dry period. We've only had 3.2mm of rain since the 22nd December. What's even more notable is we've seen just 347.8mm since 28th April 2018. We'd expect around 500mm in that period on average.

Half way through the winter now and the winter index says it all: 2009/10: 174.5 2010/11: 129.4 1995/96: 128.1 2012/13: 103.1 1990/91: 92.5 1993/94: 77.4 2000/01: 74.2 2008/09: 64.8 2003/04: 63.9 2017/18: 62.2 1996/97: 60.0 2005/06: 55.1 1998/99: 52.6 2002/03: 52.0 1992/93: 48.7 2011/12: 48.3 2001/02: 48.1 1991/92: 44.5 2014/15: 43.7 2004/05: 42.8 1994/95: 38.1 1999/00: 36.5 1987/88: 35.1 2016/17: 26.1 2007/08: 25.7 2015/16: 24.4 1997/98: 20.3 2006/07: 19.7 2013/14: 8.0 1989/90: 8.0 2018/19: 7.0 (to 14th Jan) 1988/89: 6.6 It's going to take quite something in the last 45 days to turn this winter around.

It's been abysmal so far. We haven't dropped below -0.8C so far this Autumn and winter with a total of four slight air frosts. Combined, we've been below freezing less than 12hrs so far. It's the half way point of winter tomorrow, hopefully it delivers something in the second half!

There's a difference between banter related to the thread/models and just having people cluttering threads with any old nonsense. It's not about being the "fun police" but making sure the threads are actually readable for others.

We reached an air pressure of 1043.9hPa today, making it the highest since 7th February 2012. Strangely we also had rain showers! Odd to get anything in the way of shower activity with pressure this high. I imagine that doesn't happen too often.

The three warmer years are 2006, 2011 and 2014 aswell. All in the last 12 years.

Hadley is confirmed as 6.9C. Joint 15th warmest. The annual CET was 10.69C, 4th warmest.

I think gains are going to be harder to come by now. Hudson, Chukchi and Baffin are iced over and SSTs in Barents are still well above average. Hard to believe the ice has barely touched the northern coast of Svalbard and we're almost into January.

Close to average but rather dry. 4.6C and 62mm

It would also be the 15th warmest in the 360 year CET series. There's only been 27 winter months with a CET of 7.0C or above in that 360 years, so its up there with the worst.

I suspect by mid-January we're going to be talking about the lack of rain at this rate rather than anything particularly wintry. The GFS 12z has rainfall amounts of <10mm for large parts of the UK out to mid-month, with areas in the south east getting just 1 or 2mm. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPUK12_384_49.png After the dry summer and Autumn the lack of rain might start to become an issue if this comes to fruition.

That eruption started on 29th March. It wasn't anything to do with that. It actually coincided with the 1982-83 El Nino event causing a slight net warming in the northern hemisphere the next winter.

We're actually on 57.2hrs of sunshine so far this month, which is 110% of the 1981-2010 monthly average. It hasn't felt like it though, as the sunshine has mainly come on a few days. We haven't gone below -0.7C this month, something even 2015 managed. Its been quite a similar month here, just with temperatures a few degrees cooler compared to 2015.

Next month will mark 6 years since we had any measurable snow in the winter months (Dec, Jan, Feb). March 2018 managed a couple of 1cm covers in the easterly spells, but apart from that, nothing. Its a rather unusual and depressing run. Snow has become less frequent on average, but I never thought I would see nothing for such an extended period.

I suspect its to do with 2M temperatures over the central Arctic being well above average until mid-March (and especially so in Feb during the SSW), but then recovering to only just above average by late-March/early-April. Volume generally increases until May, so with much cooler relative temperatures and 6 weeks of net growth time still left it rebounded quite well:

We're on 7.9C (+2.3C) to the 8th. Its certainly looking like another 'one of those' Decembers. It's 8 years since we had any measurable snow in December now. Still, after such a settled and dry period from May - mid-November I can't say I'm surprised with what we're getting at the moment.

Oops a bit late this month.... Mild and wet: 6.0C and 120mm.

Sorry but this thread is better suited to the climate section. Closing this as it will inevitably go downhill.

It briefly went down to -0.1C here making it the first air frost of the season. I'm quite surprised tonight managed it. It looked like we were going to have to wait until December looking at the models.

Today just highlights how rubbish the two easterlies were here in February and March. We barely managed a cm of snow in each of those events yet today with a similar but milder flow we've seen 16.4mm of rain. It was either just very unlucky or the North Sea was too cold by then.

It's been exceptionally dry, warm and sunny here so far. Like every month since April mind you! Things might look different by month end in November's case however.