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Just had a 57mph gust. Its a southerly wind though and we're not too exposed in that direction.

Peak winds look to be around 10pm up here, but we've already just had a gust of 57mph even here in the relatively sheltered East.

I suspect most people would consider an "average" Spring to be quite cold now. Last year was considered "cold" but it was 0.2C above the 1991-2020 average. 2022 has been mentioned as "good March but the rest pretty average" but it had a 13.3C May and was only 0.2C below the record! That's not saying much mind you as the 1991-2020 average is just 1.1C below said record, such has been the concentration of warm Springs in recent years. We're over due a really warm May though. We've had an 11.9C April and 17.0C June either side, but no May above 13.4C. Definitely a 14+C one due at some point.

The way things are going its more likely to be warmer, drier and sunnier than average - as that's the trend of the last 25 years or so. The cluster of warm and sunny Springs is remarkable after 2000. It has changed more than any other season. Here, since 2007 there have been 10(!) Aprils with less than 25% of average rainfall. 2020, 2021 and 2022 had 6.6mm or less. In the same time period only 6 out of 51 individual Spring months have had less than 90% of average sunshine. There have also only been three Springs below average since 2001. Odds are in favour of a good one, though it means expectations are probably far too high.

It has nothing to do with it, hence they've all been removed. Any further windups or guilt-tripping posts and they will be removed and action taken.

It's the total opposite here. In the last 11 years, only late-February 2018 (4 days) and February 2021 (7 days) have managed more than a day or two with lying snow. I think we've always had these occasional prolonged spells every few years and they're still generally potent enough to deliver. The short-lived transient spells have vanished here though. The toppler which was a thing of the 90s and 00s seem to never happen now. They used to be the main source of snow here outside the more famous spells.

More like after weeks of everything being sodden, they're getting done what they can before we get the wet and windy weather again!

As bad as high summer was in 2023, you cant really compare it to the really bad summers. It did after all include a 17.0C June which was also very dry and sunny. Compare that to summers like 2007 and 2011 where all three summer months were below 15.5C on the CET and had very little in the way of heat, or 2012 which was cool, wet and dull everywhere (which 2023 wasnt). The bad weather was condensed into July and August, so it was perceived as worse than it was. If we had a rubbish June and August but July was the better month, it wouldn't have been seen as a summer as bad as it was for example.

SImply, no they're not. Winter here from 1980 to present from my own data: About a 1.2C increase on the trend. Pretty similar to the warming national / globally. And lying snow, which has been particularly dire in the last decade. There are the same number of winters with 0 or 1 snow lying at 0900 days pre-2013 as after 2013:

It looks quite similar to December but with the cold mid-month instead of at the beginning. Locally, the first half of December was 1.3C below average but the month finished 1.7C above overall. The first 15 days of January are -0.2C here and this will fall, but then exceptional mild looks to be the order of the day making it finish above average. Could be the case of a mild overall winter but with a few short-lived cold spells hidden away within it. Shame there isn't much snow.

Fortunately freezing rain is rare in the UK. It has to be one of the most evil types of weather going. A typical North Sea muck day today with featureless overcast skies and no sunshine at all. If anything, at least this cold air from the North will clear the grey and give some sunshine. The first 11 days of January have had just 12 hours of sunshine so far. After a terrible previous three months it will be nice to get some sunshine.

I've no idea where this late SSW = a bad spring nonsense comes from. The stratosphere warms and the polar vortex breaks up every spring. The same goes for SSW = cold spell for the UK in winter. As always, they can have an effect, but its predominantly determined by a combination of factors. Yes, it can shake up the pattern, but it could quite as easily lead to us being in a warm pattern rather than a cold one.

Knowing Davis it'll have been the cheapest, lowest quality screen they could get a hold of. Knowing the nature of the device and how it will show a similar image for the majority of it's life, you would expect they would pick a screen with technology that doesn't suffer from burn-in. Logically anyway.

It would only require yesterday to have been -19.7C. Easy!

It has updated and is 5.1C to the 9th.

I'm surprised by today, I expected more of featureless grey sheet with the lack of cold uppers and a north-easterly wind direction, but instead we've got sunshine and showers. Its a bit cooler than forecast aswell with a max of 6.5C. BBC keep persisting with maximum temperature predictions that are too high. They were going for 8-9C for us under the NE'erly later in the week. I cant see it to be honest.

I often wonder how summer 2023 would have been perceived had the 3-4 weeks of dry, sunny and warm weather in June occurred over 7-10 day periods in each of the summer months instead. Stats-wise it wasn't the worst summer but as all of the bad weather was concentrated in high summer, it felt pretty poor. I imagine it would have been seen as a better summer if it occurred that way - more of a typical UK summer.

It wasn't aimed specifically at you, but as you replied, I would ask why someone who has been here 5 years and hates winter so much has only posted exclusively in December, January and February during that time. Not to mention the recurring theme in those posts.

I'll never understand why people join a weather enthusiast's forum and then whinge about people following the models in the other thread or about potential weather that is actually interesting and not the grey, miserable rubbish we have had for pretty much all of the winter (and much of the Autumn) so far. Enough of the guilt-tripping and saying how cold weather isn't good for people. People have preferences that are different. Deal with it. Not to mention, the same people will be whinging in summer when the models don't show the weather they desire or if anyone dare show any other preference to them. Its ridiculous.

Unbelievable how the GFS has shifted In the last 36 hours. On the latest run, apart from Scotland the -5C or colder 850hPa air is barely here for 48 hours before the low to the south-west approaches and it's gone. It can't be discounted of course, but hopefully it's just winding up the low over the Azores too much.

No chance here with the wind from the east as well as the cloud. Its hovered around 3-5C day and night.

Moved to the climate section as its more relevant to there than winter discussion. Thanks

We haven't even had an air frost here since 6th December. In fact it has only dropped below 2C four times since then. Pretty poor for Dec-Jan.

That would be anything but warm! The wind is coming off the North Sea. Cloudy and 8C for a lot of England more like.

Historical records in the UK are 0900 to 0900 GMT, so in summer you could be at 13C all day, but if it reaches 20C by 10am the next morning then the maximum for that day is 20C. Likewise, if its 2C at 0900GMT in winter on Tuesday but all of that night is in double figures, then the minimum for the Wednesday is 2C, not double figures. It all balances out in the long run, but it means its quite hard to record extremely low maximums or extremely high minimums in summer.