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northwestsnow

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Everything posted by northwestsnow

  1. northwestsnow
    Brill.. thankyou for that post. I quite like the references to media outlooks in tandem with model guidance..
  2. northwestsnow
    GEFS 00z are rock solid bar the odd outlier of below average temps for the UK for the forseeable- The divergence IMHO comes at 144, i'm still of the opinion we will need some help from the Azores high - EC det detaches the emerging Azores high from the retrogressing Scandy high and attempts to bring the Atlantic through the 'door'..But even in this scenario the block manages to disrupt the Lows and they look set to disrupt post day 10..
  3. northwestsnow
    You have to say the runs are simply sublime this morning , OK there are some differences but all in all, the theme of blocking highs at high latitude and euro low pressure looks a go-er. I posted the meto France outlook by Fred Decker at the turn of the month which was pointing to the above and at this stage it looks an absolutely fabulous call. Even the EC op which again looks an outlier with the pattern looks good at day 10 with the Atlantic low hitting a wall and disrupting,
  4. northwestsnow
    Beautiful run..Look at the PV!!!
  5. northwestsnow
    And the beeb have backtracked a little with their monthly outlook, they are suggesting a spell of easterly winds but no mention of snow , maybe not suprising... They still expecting a return of the Atlantic earlish December with west or south west winds.. All in all the theme until the last paragraph is cool/cold..Hopefully the long term prognosis is incorrect..
  6. northwestsnow
    Tremendous runs again this evening. Even the 'slayer' has had a rethink !! Enjoy these charts folks.. dont get hung up about snow ..
  7. northwestsnow
    At work mate... cant post as im in a clean room enviroment.. Glad 6z looks good .. looking forward to Exeters update again.
  8. northwestsnow
    ec MEAN looks blocked and increasingly colder as we head to the last week in November... Sceuro high to end the month? One things for sure , its just about the best time of year for a block near or to the ENE of the Uk.. Short days = cold nights in this set up.
  9. northwestsnow
    Looks like 120-144 is absolute key timeframe Blue..
  10. northwestsnow
    EC gets the this morning!! Northern blocking galore ..
  11. northwestsnow
    EC slightly different to UKMO so i guess while we have divergence at 120 nothing thereafter is certain..
  12. northwestsnow
    EC will likely follow UKMO so it will be interesting to see how it unfolds..
  13. northwestsnow
    Quite a difference between UKMO/GFS at 144. GFS is again excellent , ukmo not as convincing but i feel ukmo would go on to be OK as the atlantic low will hopefully undercut therafter...
  14. northwestsnow
    That is certainly possible, i don't think its the favoured outcome short to mid term but one never knows..
  15. northwestsnow
    Quite right, EC is blocked and cold.
  16. northwestsnow
    Nothing not to like on EC from were i'm sat so not sure what you are getting at here?
  17. northwestsnow
    LOL ec46... now wheres that seaweed.on a serious note a sceuro high will likely produce some pretty cold conditions..
  18. northwestsnow
    Old skool synoptics on show today.. Eagerly awaiting Exeters update.. hopeful of the words cold,frost,fog being prominent.. Not overly fussed about snow at this early stage..
  19. northwestsnow
    Absolutely, ukmo 144 slightly different to GFS though, not sure how it will effect the progression..
  20. northwestsnow
    Blimey i hope EC follows this in the morning!! Incredible 18z.
  21. northwestsnow
    Bye bye Greenland PV..
  22. northwestsnow
    18z looks a ripper!!
  23. northwestsnow
    By next week it will be feeling raw in the SE as we drag in those cooler uppers from central Europe.
  24. northwestsnow
    Its actually mezmorising watching that huge anticyclone build and just bully the Atlantic like this..
  25. northwestsnow
    I think i just had an accident . Thats some prediction, i hope you are right!! TBF Glosea seems to agree judging from the last winter update..
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