Lukesluckybunch
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Posts posted by Lukesluckybunch
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26 minutes ago, MJB said:
Control says keep your thermals out for a while
The 384 chart on the op..just about somes things up!
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Uk mild sector!
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8 hours ago, andymusic said:
12z the freezer makes an attempt from the north
Could do with a laugh on a Friday night.!
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Ecm horror show tonight!southwesterlies coming back in!
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ICON 12z appears to be running a bit late...
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Icon 6z looks nice..after 120 I would say there's a good chance of that very cold air from the east!
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7 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:
But of course, the cold never arrived.
Well exactly..i shouldn't let it get me down,it's a very hard thing to get the cold to cross the north sea!
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The biggest problem throughout the winter,was gaining momentum with the models..and chasing down any cold that was showing up..and that theme has continued the past week..no consistency whatsoever changing day to day!
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18z is a lovely run!cold air from the east!
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12 minutes ago, KTtom said:
Looking at the ecm 850's for later in the run and you can see why some think a straight northerly is better if you want a final taste of winter (or a first taste in some cases) as you head into Spring.
You can get some extremely cold 850's from the east/northeast seen it many times..I guess it's dependent of where it's sourced from..where as a straight northerly from the arctic..will always be cold!
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Just now, northwestsnow said:
I'm afraid EC 12Z just makes me hate our new climate even more
Wrong time of year nw?
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Pretty good ecm run we maintain the easterly feed from day 6 all the way out..and it progressively turns colder!very quiet in here!
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Ukmo144 ..I'm thinking the extended might be good!
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What a mess this 12z run is from the gfs..not looking good at all..
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Ecm a big mild outlier for london...good too see!
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15 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
corker in-bound.
Maybe feb..just don't want that shortwave near norway..phasing with the energy southwest of iceland..ended up bad,the Azores hp came and ruined things!..only mild here from day 8
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Pert 22 would be the way forward!
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Early stages..but the core of hp..further North on the 18z!
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Icon 114..looking good cold to the northeast creeping closer!look at them heights north of scandi..we would dream of seeing that in winter!
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The best ecm mean yet at 192.
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1 minute ago, Mark wheeler said:
Hmm, ECM like a dog with a bone .
Imagine that 192 chart I. January..you would be looking at highs of -5!
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2 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
would have been without that shortwave near Iceland.
Good point..the shortwave was a bit random!the east does get a hint of the very cold stuff..perhaps a cold high by day 10..as the coldest air skirts away to the southeast of us!
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Gfs continuing to show..what many of us would dream of..in the winter months!we end with a lovely griceland high on the 6z..absolutely typical!