Lukesluckybunch
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Posts posted by Lukesluckybunch
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6 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
Much better, more room between the low and the UK.
Trough backing away east into Europe like we want it mike..further South slightly would be a perfect set up!..a slightly better version of 168 would be excellent!
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2 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
Or could it?
Possible..it could look ok by day 14!
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Once again no consistency in the models..the 12z couldn't repeat the 6z!
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20 minutes ago, Gowon said:
Looks like the GFS is going the same route as the 06z
Yep..probably looking a bit better then the 6z..or maybe not at 192..there appears to be no opening
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Icon giving it a good go at height rises in the preferred places!a real good effort..not a million miles away from that real cold stuff!
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1 hour ago, Met4Cast said:
good as the GFS det was in the extended it doesn't have much support at all.
Very true..although not a total outlier! Hopefully it was a sign of things to come..on the 12z
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Control goes similar direction to the op run..but not nearly as good!
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2 minutes ago, Gowon said:
The difference between the GFS runs:
We swap the dartboard low..for Icelandic high!
1 minute ago, Gowon said:he! Check out the warm sector through Peterborough :
Damn!wouldn't want to be in that zone!
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Gfs getting going at 270...perfect position of the hp for the uk!centre of the high between Iceland norway
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Gfs about to get interesting into day 9?
7 minutes ago, MJB said:Improvement on the 0z
Slightly..but still in a straight westerly!
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Really poor 6z developing..cold air getting blown out of Scandi even!
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1 minute ago, Ice Day said:
That's a different point Luke. I was just challenging your statement 'well played the GFS', as its been just as inconsistent as the others, albeit it hasn't 'yet' shown the same solution as the Euro's.
Ok
..ecm over the past few weeks has shown..major pattern changes occasionally like developing a decent Scandi high with big easterlys..which of course hasn't came true..
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3 minutes ago, ANYWEATHER said:
ANYWEATHER -exactly what happened just a few days ago....ecm was wrong at just 72h!! With the track of that low
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8 minutes ago, Ice Day said:
But you can't deny that ecm,is not as good even as last night..and with the gefs not interested also.!things never seem to improve,always go the other way..I was just saying that gfs has been reluctant to show us the dream charts..and going forward the likelyhood of very cold has decreased..the met are also not as confident..mentioning the Atlantic could come back in early March,which means the next 10-15 days are critical in getting the cold in..did I miss something is gem a good run??
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Having said that..nice mean from ecm!
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We can't get any model consistency..it's very frustrating,ukmo backtracks once again
10 minutes ago, ANYWEATHER said:cannot be trusted
Absolutely..Even the ecm with the best possible solution,has been watered down!
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The Azores had just had to poke it's nose in at 240...but I don't think it's the main player at that stage..
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I'm expecting the trough to cut right back at 240..height punching through it..with a bitter northeasterly..let's see
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Lovely day 8!cold northeasterly setting up here!
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Heights declining over Europe at 168..hoping for some decent blocking around Iceland day 8!
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Just now, blizzard81 said:
When I see such a huge difference for the better at 6 days out I get visions of Darren Bett being dragged off the levers of the model controls.
Mr mild!blizzard haha
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1 minute ago, Ali1977 said:
This is very close to being very good - let’s see where it goes
Possible link up towards Scandi I'm thinking....
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Weird chart!
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Pretty good stuff feb..is that a griceland high at 318!