Lukesluckybunch
-
Posts
3,412 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Lukesluckybunch
-
-
Ecm not quite as good as the rest at 144..but the lows out west are losing strength,undercut looks like trying to happen,I think by 192 we will have a decent easterly set up!let's see..not quite the fireworks of lastnights 12z run..but a trend for something colder from the east continues..hopefully the low will slide through now..and doesn't move north!
-
2
-
-
Let's make it clear that a cold and wintry March is still very possible these days...but the set up has to be absolute perfect!
-
3
-
-
Ukmo fantastic this morning..day 7 chart!
-
3
-
-
3 minutes ago, Jacob said:
not for the south with those -4 uppers
It's actually -6/8 uppers
-
3
-
-
10 minutes ago, Uncertainty said:
Stunning chart!
Snow showers in the north there..threat of more persistent snow in the South I think..
-
A bit more like it from the ecm..snow showers showing up!
-
3
-
-
10 minutes ago, markw2680 said:
good had enough of this dreadful wet winter
Mark I agree...it's been terrible for cold!
-
1
-
-
Just now, MJB said:
Just one option Luke
Yes marcus..thankfully the ecm and ukmo are better!
-
1
-
-
Gfs horror show next week...the low doesn't disrupt and move east..instead it blows up,,and pumps up milder air!
-
1
-
-
3 minutes ago, MJB said:
D10 on ECM not far off something good
True..just have too watch that low to the southwest..doesn't spin up and destroy the pattern..but the hp looks quite strong..and in a decent place!looking at that chart ,looks like we could have a blast from the east..or a slower route to the cold from the northeast!I think we have two chances there
-
2
-
-
25 minutes ago, Neil Harris said:
Are we looking at a spell of dry weather with this, Cheltenham needs to dry out?
I would say drying out midweek onwards..looks still a bit wet early in week
-
1
-
-
Ecm day 7!lovely strong hp over scandi!
-
2
-
-
-
4 minutes ago, TillyS said:
The signal for the Scandinavian High next week is strong in the models now. Nothing majorly cold but it would bring settled conditions there and, by extension, to the UK for a while although not particularly cold.
Yes it's now looking likely..I have to agree with you,not looking overly cold at this moment...we are approaching the time of the year,where the set up has to be perfect!as the sun is gaining strength now etc...
-
3
-
-
Day 9 mean..not bad and improvement on the 18z..more of a undercutting look
-
1
-
-
Day 7 ukmo! Very close to that cold pool over the continent..what could go wrong!?haha
-
3
-
-
-
Just when you think the ecm holds some promise..it turns out really
bad,that trough at day 7 doesn't undercut them heights building over Europe,I thought there was some chance of a easterly developing..instead we just end up chilly and wet
-
2
-
-
Apart from portugal..the UK is the mildest spot at day 8 gfs!really hope it's got this wrong
-
The met now back in the cold train to some extent..in there long range!
-
1
-
-
Very frustrating once more..last night's half decent ecm again disappears overnight
-
2
-
-
Gfs sticking to it's guns..flat as anything at day 7!
-
You won't find a worse mean at day 8!
-
3
-
-
8 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
Instead it’s delivered a horror show .
Absolutely nick..just too much energy to the northwest,to even give the chance of heights to build!
-
1
-
.png.26f67a357eab6336eddcfd33954776f3.png)
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
It does look possible..still need some firming up from the ens..ukmo was brilliant this morning..ecm doesn't follow it,not bad for the north though!