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cheeky_monkey

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Posts posted by cheeky_monkey

  1.  steveinsussex as this is a weather forum ..most will stick to the met office definition which is as follows :

     

    "at the Met Office, we use a meteorological definition of the seasons. By the meteorological calendar, the first day of winter is always 1 December; ending on 28 (or 29 during a Leap Year) February.

    Meteorological seasons consist of splitting the seasons into four periods made up of three months each. These seasons are split to coincide with our Gregorian calendar, making it easier for meteorological observing and forecasting to compare seasonal and monthly statistics.

    The seasons are defined as spring (March, April, May), summer (June, July, August), autumn (September, October, November) and winter (December, January, February)."

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  2. On 26/01/2024 at 13:10, Dami said:

    i'm not a great fan, if someone quotes me from a few pages say, i have no idea what i'm being quoted for. At least the quote box showed you.

    100% agree i have memory like a sieve sometimes and have no idea what i said where your being replied to..also the highlight a text to quote is a pain the the rear it took me 4 attempts to get it to highlight just the text and not everything around and in-between  

  3. 45 minutes ago, North-Easterly Blast said:

    Looking at records, it is a well known fact of the British weather patterns that anomalous warmth in September (a high September CET) bodes badly for cold conditions during the following winter, in particular from high latitude blocking and northerly and easterly spells.

    I have looked at Septembers over previous years and my conclusion is that a cooler or even average September CET appears to have very little bearing on the following winter's weather patterns, and it looks to be still possible in some cases to have a near or even slightly above average September CET and still have a colder winter to follow, but it is very rare, if not almost unheard of, to get a cold winter in the UK, or to get a winter that is anything other than above average, after anomalous September warmth in terms of a high CET.

    It is clear that if you are hoping for a reasonable chance of cold outbreaks in the winter to follow, you do not want to see anomalous warmth in September like last year, and a number of others in the last 25 years or so.

    q? why would the  Sept temperature anomaly on a very small location in the Northern Atlantic have any impact on the Northern Hemisphere winter that would follow ? to me is just a statistical coincidence 

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  4. 51 minutes ago, Robert1981 said:

    hi I agree with most things u have said on your post. I think if the met office didn't name storms like there do it would be wrong in people eyes there would be complaining so unfortunately whatever the met office does it wouldn't be right. 

    why?? nobody gave a sheet about naming storms before..they dont name storms over here outside of hurricanes ..whats the point??

    • Like 1
  5. 1 hour ago, Norrance said:

    December 1978 was not that cold for the 1980's. CET was 3.7C (would be considered cold now) and included a mix of warm and cold spells. Christmas for example was very mild but New Year freezing. 

    would still have been considered cold back then as it would have been 1c below the 1961-1990 average only 1981 had a colder Dec in the 1980s then you have to go to 1992 to find the next colder Dec ..probably that exceptional cold snow event at the end is what makes it memorable. For Example Jan 1980 was colder than every Jan from 1988 -2010 but no one remembers it. 

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