Quite...As there's so much uncertainty in what the models are saying, it would, IMHO, be exceedingly foolhardy for anyone to start making supposedly definitive predictions? What on Earth is wrong with admitting doubt?
seems as though another reminder is required?? This is the Model Thread and is, believe it or not, the place for discussing the models' output. It ain't the place for knocking the UK MetO!
Any chance of drawing a line under this argument? It's snowing her and it's not snowing there...Last year it was the other way around. There's no such thing as a text-book cold spell?
No idea what's going-on with the quote function, but:
My view of the 'good news-bad news' is as follows: good news - nobody knows what's about to happen...Good news - nobody knows what's about to happen...
Well I wouldn't call it 'descent', Cap - barely a covering. But after the last two years, anything's better than nowt!
2C colder, we'd be knee-deep by now.
Aye, CS - but, as none of us can actually see them, what can we can we really say about what they might or might not show?
Anywho, the GFS 12Z is now oozing out...And we can see that one!
TBH, I find all this talk of 'hidden models' very reminiscent of the 'missing balloon-data' assumptions of old...So discussion of such entities is surely off-topic, and wondering just what they might be saying (assuming they exist) is pure hypothesis?