Methuselah
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Posts posted by Methuselah
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Little USA (South East)still does well for storms it's the rest of the country that's starting to forget what a thunderstorm looks like
Maybe so, but long-term statistics might prove you wrong: what goes around comes around?
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That's just what I used to feel like...Inverness's environs are renowned for coolness?? Now I can't stop sweating!
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I agree with all of that, Malcolm!
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Haha, well with all the amazing charts of the last couple of days rapidly vanishing and reverting to boring mediocrity, am very grateful to be off to Spain next week. Can't believe how quickly things change. Must be the cold Atlantic?
The rain in Spain???
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wow 20c, steady on there temperature, dont get too carried away , you might do yourself an injury getting so high
seriously though 20c in the height of midsummer a few years ago would have seen a bit meh and bland, now its like a mega heatwave upon us
*in our so called warming climate*
SShhh!!
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Off cours they don't, but people post charts as though they do. Experience tells us even a few days ago any significant warm up and potential plume always had a very good chance of being progressively remodelled away from the UK.
As for this weekend some places may exceed 20c, but under plenty of cloud and drizzle id say it would be more of an exception.
That, IMO, is a risky bet; 4-hours' sunshine, and anywhere south of The Wash could see 24-25? We'll see my friend...
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i'm the one with no knowledge and would appreciate a section where those that know more about these things can tell us what is likely to happen in the more reliable timeframe, ie, next 2 or 3 days.
Warmer and more humid; but you'll know far more about your local conditions than I...I spent a month in Ceredigion back in 2012, but never got to understand the local conditions...
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just clicked , lol ,
..And to think that I dissed that fillum - because clouds like that never really happen. Whatatwatami!
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yeah my main moan is there is nowhere on this site to tell us with no knowledge what is going to happen in the next few days. On the model discussion its always whats going to happen next week. Its rather frustrating.
Why would you want someone 'with no knowledge' to tell you anything, SLAMMER?
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As much as many of us don't want the 12z GFS conditions to verify, its still worth a mention as it will affect those on holiday/with outdoor plans etc.
Isn't the GFS supposed to be 'rubbish'?
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What have we done to deserve such an awful spell of blandness and cool conditions? Never known such persistently average conditions. If the current charts continue for another week or so, most of July will begin to look a wrote off. Barely any storms or warmth. It just all stinks of poor and below average. The cold weather fans are having it very lucky this year.
I don't know...the same thing we did in May-June 1983?
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Pure cherry picking showing those GEM charts, GFS in reality is a complete car crash. An every deepening low that's being progged to the north west of
Scotland drives what was the potential of warmer conditions deep into Central Europe before even getting close to the UK. Additionally further down toning of this weekend with temos barely making the 20c Mark.
But the models don't control the weather, Alderc; they merely give us an indication of things to come, that is better than simple guesswork...But, whatever the models 'say' - temps will easily exceed 20C somewhere, this coming weekend...And, as for what'll occur 15-days from now?? Then your guess is a s good (or as bad) as mine.
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Fridays rapidly becoming a naff day with the weekend also looking like it will be cool, breezey and overcast. Remember 18-20C is now below par for large parts of the south as we enter what is technically high summer, with plenty of cloud it won't feel like high summer!
What does 'high summer' actually feel like, then? 21-23C, averagely humid and partly cloudy, and with the added chance of intermittent rain? Isn't that what the weekend is likely to be?
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Summer 2013 was the warmest, sunniest and driest summer since 2006.
Tbh pjl, I'd rank 2013 and last-year as very-much on the positive side of average; and last year, with its lack of anything too hot (but nothing cold) as the better of the two.
And, IMO, this year so far has been no worse than was 1983?
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Still pretty dire over here...
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The best storm here, in the last few years, must have been on January 3, 2014; strobe lightning and a few cm of lying hail. There was T&L in Farnborough on Xmas morning 2012, too.
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The whole point of an ensemble package is to gauge a general concensous, admitedly while nothing should be completely ruled out the fact that 22C 850s are bordering all time record levels in the UK, its 384hours away and the fact FI begins at about 120hrs at the moment means.....well it should be pretty much ignored (99.99999% ignored maybe)
I thought ensembles were there as a gauge of the likely accuracy of operationals, and to indicate likely future trends? The most discernible trend I can see is for Europe's hot weather to extend gradually north and northwest...As for day-to-day details; we all know how unpredictable they are...
Welcome to the forum, Alderc.
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It's a right stinker...it could even be in-line for The Crappiest Day of The Month comp!
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Are we in 'recovery' again, guys?
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Just had a brief but intense shower; the 'thunder' was the binmen.
Good luck in your new job, Cap.
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Flash-fried bacon?
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30 plus in the Okanagan is not that unusual for June in this part of BC Canada
Evesham's in BC?
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Peeps: can we please stop talking about snow? It's June!
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Southeast England & East Anglia - Weather Chat >> 1st March Onwards
in Regional
Posted
It is now absolutely clear...