weathermadbarnsleylad

Talk about 2 runs been different on extreme ends lol GFS 12z(left) versus GFS 18z(right) at 384hr last frames Which do I want mmm?????

Absolutely rubbish in Barnsley. Been same this winter with westerly flows

Absolutely banging it down now ward Green about a mile from Barnsley Town centre. Just checked river dove rising quickly. The pennies fill the streams going to the Worsbrough reservoir and the reservoir over spills into the river dove and goes thru the valley hitting the dearne. Then eventually the Don near Doncaster. Let's see how it pans. But to my knowledge I expect the dearne Valley to be on high flood alert by the early hours.

Yes this one misses Barnsley by a whisker. Nevermind always next time pmsl.

Snow accumulation from 18z gfs all FI but bring it on. Look OK that chart for yorkshire all will change but only 216hours away lol

To Me it looks like we will eventually get a battle between the bitter cold in the North vs the mild uppers in the south for a time and then I really do think we could end with something more cold than just a polar maritime zonal flow. It does nothing for my area a zonal flow has the pennies get in the way lol. Where has an Easterly we get convection of the north sea. When we get something more colder is the question. This year i won't throw in the pram until at least the 1st of April. Due to the fact the vortex looks angry this year. Roll on the 6z gfs run.

Still lots of spread on the ens for South Yorkshire my area from the 6th of Feb etc some hitting the - 8 850hpa cold enough for snow if conditions are correct dew point etc. This is from the cold zonal I'd suggest so probs be downgraded by then.

Last snow seen here was has I was driving to my brothers for a Barnsley game on TV. 14th December 2019 about half 1 in the afternoon. It was more a sleet shower lol

My thoughts on this never ending winter crap train is we will keep getting cold zonal flows thru the first half of Feb. Maybe a few sleet showers if your lucky then boom. Winter will start like never before. And we will be begging for the snow to melt. I can just see it happening. Have faith coldies it will happen soon. Longer range predictions MJO. AO etc go out of the window in this day and age.

I no not model related but this gives you an idea of our climate and others been mild. My stepdad has an apartment in southern Spain place called benalmedina near malaga. Average temp for April is 17oC and yesterday it was 23oC so it ain't just us experiencing the mild weather. Also they had high winds last week due to high pressure been in control here. And lows going south towards Spain.

At some point in the next few weeks the extreme cold north of our shores will move somewhere and give somebody a battering after the mild we are having. Let's hope its our shores that cop it. Regarding what is happening at the moment. I still don't think any of the models especially gfs has decided what the winter storm in North East usa will do. Fantasy island for meis at 96hrs nothing more. We should I hope have clarification by this evening I should hope. Its Thursday today and we are talking about what will. Happen next Tuesday. Too far off for me.

Well put mate

Excellent post

Cold prospects??? Questions today are a plenty 1) will the 12gfs upgrade and bring the cold back? 2)will the 12zgfs downgrade even more and show more mild? 3)will the ecm follow the gfs with its downgrade of cold? 4)will the ecm stick to its guns and show a cold northerly ? I will always trust the ECM before the gfs but!!!!!!!!!! Will I be correct????? All shall be revealed shortly ha ha.

My honest opinion is the 18z gfs is wrong and I think it's been on the shots this evening way too many to be honest. I think we will get a ecmf type evolution with reload after reload and hopefully the weather gods will come together for us coldies and give us a good dumping. Just wanted to laugh at the 18z run or was it cry. Roll on the morning runs and let's bring back the cold flow. Night all

Mm 18z you tease. Joking aside i think it's time us oldies had some luck. Now my prediction is the high will end up been more west and we shall have a direct northery eventually turning Easterly has the trough drops south. Snow showers for NE Scotland first moving down the east coast and eventually making the way far inland when the flow turns Easterly eventually hitting southern England with a couple of humber/wash and Thames streamers. Turning Nov/Dec 2010 in to a distant memory. We can hope can't we night all.

My thoughts tonight are we have been in a waiting game for winter to fully start. Ecm looks very interesting to me day 8/9/10 it's got a look about it that's strange. But my feeling is the deep cold in the North West is primed. I really think this winter will end very cold and snowy. From early Feb onwards is my prediction. Regards to next week's cool North westerly it's just a cool down to the main event. You heard it here first.

The mornings runs can only be BOOOOOOOM charts then. Think positive normally when the pub run is good the mornings are crap. So you never no.

18z ensembles suite for South Yorkshire make of it what you will

Temps dropping off from the 25th on the 18z ens

My thoughts this evening/morning is look to the north/north west. I am 100% convinced that this winter will bring us a very big surprise regarding cold and snow prospects. Its just the big question when and how we get there. The artic looks angry this year to me and its far from winter over. Watch this space night all. PS no matter how intelligent we as humans are and our big computer models. No way do I trust anything weather wise past 10 days max this includes mjo/clusters/long range forcast there are too many things changing weather wise than you can imagine.

Very exciting times ahead but not gonna get bit this time lol stunning 18z for cold lol

Evening all. I only have a few words to say today. Don't be too worried about what each run shows if it's cold and snow your after like me. The models are looking drastic for that. But I always say in weather and especially model watching it can and will change. Maybe not tomorrows 00z gfs or even the ECM 12z tomorrow evening for example. Be patient and eventually and hopefully us coldies will get our wish. Before I go I would say I have massive respect for the posters in here. Some excellent information given at times.

Ahh yes looks bad for a cold prospect on the gfs 6z and ECM 6z but its the weather and it will do what it wants. But everyone have a stunning Christmas and I will be back boxing day evening to see where we stand for beginning of new year in FI. Until then by kids.

Only 1 goes to - 10 850hpa pass the prozac