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Everything posted by weathermadbarnsleylad
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Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes very much my opinion too. Gfs always overplays the Atlantic. Its will. Slowly get better and up to speed. Can see a very good evening run on its way. Ensemble now probs show a better pic when come out. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
12z will look even better. Atlantic struggling to get thru. Bit of uncertainty from the gfs but I think it will slowly backtrack next few runs. To be more in line with other models -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gfs looks 6z looks better Atlantic looks further west at 174hr. High pressure better positioned than 00z sorry can't upload pics -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi accurate would you say the cpc charts are. Should we be worried about the gfs wobble in your opinion? Thanks in advance. Don't worry about been emotional it's a very emotional time mate. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks very warm/settled from weekend onwards. Just about hit 20oC here on Saturday and that was comfortable enough for me. Anything higher is a bonus. A few evening storms wouldn't go miss either lol. Getting more and more into reliable time frame now so looking good. We'll done 18z. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think the gfs00z had an hangover this morning. But it's 6z brother as shown us the way. High pressure and warmer is the trend. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good signs going forward regarding high pressure/warm temps etc. Trying not to get too excited. Will probably have a bit more confidence after a few more runs. It's a fact the Atlantic will eventually come back but when is anybody guess. But until it does I'm gonna enjoy any fine spells we have and the chase for them. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes the trend now from ecm/UKMO but not gfs/but 6z is better. High pressure building up from SW by the weekend. Starting of low teens but temps building nicely by early next. The trend is my friend. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Let's see if we can get trend on the plume situation/high pressure FI devolopement in the mean time enjoy today. And let's see what happens -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
My thoughts are we shouldn't be too worried about what's showing late next week ie cooler/unsettled weather from the Atlantic. I won't be confident about what's showing until at least next Tuesdays 12z runs are finished. Plenty of time for it to change to better warmer evolution. Remember today is Bank Holiday and less data available to add to airplane data already missing. Happy V E day everyone and stay safe. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think to be honest I can't complain about most models showing a cold plunge from next Sunday onwards. We have had a stunning first half of spring. Kept me going thru this awful disease. I'm gonna enjoy the sunshine this week knowing the fact it's not even summer yet. If it gets cold next week so be it. Il protect my small plants especially the cucumber. They hate cold. Last of all keep safe and thanks everyone on here for the input. I'm learning more and more everyday. God bless also the NHS stunning jobs your doing. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just looked and opp not on its own really. More than half follow it with the northerly flow. Opp run in black. Can you believe it snow risk icon by the 9th of May. Cant make it up. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Will have a look at the 18z ens before I comment. Wish me luck lol night all. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Waiting in Barnsley for the rain to clear and sun come out. Come gfs 12z bring the pluming goods lol. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Its defo one to keep an eye on -
Spring 2020 | Moans, Ramps & Chat
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Met office change from week to week. So I don't take really take it 100% but sometimes it's spot on. -
Spring 2020 | Moans, Ramps & Chat
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Exactly mate spot on. Dreading next weeks unsettled spell but it's how it is now. Pressure rising later on gfs 6z. In the mean time enjoy the last of the sun. Yes praying for rain is defo not my nature. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Don't no what's happened to the 18zgfs. But I bet its a cold outer. That northerly is something else. Only want to see that in January not may lol. Image below. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is it just me or does the 6z gfs look totally different to 0z.where has the deep low gone for next week. Also looks a lot more settled to me. -
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes defo knife edge. Gfs 18z last night was terrible. Thought was all over. Ecm gives us up of keeping the nice warm weather. -
Spring 2020 | Moans, Ramps & Chat
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Is it me or does this year feel. Like a 2018 again on its way.????