weathermadbarnsleylad
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Everything posted by weathermadbarnsleylad
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Not phased at 168 looking likely to follow the gfs 12z -
Not bad could be better lol
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I still think nothing is set. 2/3 days ahead is F I for me. Im still expecting cold to head towartds the uk from an easterly direction before months out. It always has been projected got end of month anyway. Some good and bad output for coldies is expected.
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I expect the 12z to be an upgrade on the cold. In my personal opinion. I still think something is lurking.
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6z ens South Yorkshire. Don't discount anything past the 17th.This is not over for coldies yet.
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Nice 1040mb greenland high blocking the Atlantic. Primed low moving east to allow winds to become N/NE. How cold will this run get. I'm quite happy to be fair.
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Like I always here people say in hear its only 1 run. Wait for the ensembles to compare the op run. Weekend not sorted yet never mind early next week.
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Excellent post. Yes something has to give before too long.
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Started snowing again Barnsley moderate shower. Looks like a few showers coming from the east at present. Will be keeping an eye out on radar while watching the fall TV series. 1st episode down quite a few to go haha.
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White over ward Green medium snow mate
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What's the direction of this front. Got medium snow at minute. Just a mile south/west Barnsley. How much we going to get. About 155m asl.
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Can't post pick but at 250hr.looks leike a sandy high development??? -
Heavy ish snow shower. Ward Green Barnsley 145m asl
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi moving north to Greenland. Going to be a good finish I think.
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
weathermadbarnsleylad replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
My personal opinion is the chances of it staying cold are still available. Too much scatter in the ensembles to change my mind just yet. I think 18z will be a cracker for cold going forward. For example If the ens were showing cold after the 10th Jan we still couldn't be confident. Still only a trend at minute. -
Currently 850hpa about - 5ish. So anything falling now will mostly be rain until about 2/3am when they drop to about - 6/7 again as the wind turns easterly. We currently in a warmer flow than earlier today.in a warmer pocket look at Yorkshire region on gfs 12z chart
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Very interesting and thanks for update
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31.4% chance of it happening anyway lol. Edit @Zak M reply to your post. Why its below I don't no lol
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If the post was not for here. It would have been moved by the forum host. Will keep to model chat in future. Edit by the way ECM day 10 12z was mentioned so was defo model chat.
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Just an hunch. I have a very very strong feeling 40oC could be breached at some point in the south this summer between now and August the 31st. Day 10 on ECM as +28 850hpa in Northern Spain. Only takes the correct movements and +20 850s could easily make it to the south coast. One to watch.
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The low out N. W is getting pushed away.
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Azores scandie ridge looking really really strong at 180hr on the 12z.
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I refer to my earlier post. It will Change by this evening lol.
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People just need to chill. It will have all changed by this evening.
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The 18z ens are gonna be very good I reckon after this run. Op will be in the top 5 but I'm punting not an outlier.
