Matty88

I'd believe that but after all the 'wrong type of rain' 'wrong type of snow' etc crap we've become accustomed to I/most have little faith in them!

They worry too much... as we all know!

Likewise!!

So, with all the 06z updates in - and with meto and BBC now updating their forecasts, I'm bracing myself here in Cambridgeshire for missing out on the snow this evening/tonight, which is disappointing but that's weather! You never know and I hope it corrects itself a tad further North! In these scenarios, more often than not, it usually stays South.

What a morning! -7 reported in this area and it is definitely the coldest morning of the winter season 2018/19 so far for this part of the world. Quite a few in the East Anglian region asking about the northerly extent - me included! The models are all really poor with this - one shows it staying South of London others push it up to the likes of Kings Lynn. My gut feel is the bulk will stay South and we'll get some flurries further North which will hopefully contribute to a dusting. Difficult to say presently if it will be anything more than that... definitely one to watch. Interesting times!

Reason to be slightly more optimistic in the 06z for Thursday, still sticking with its guns in taking the front up towards Lincolnshire before it pivots away. That would certainly deliver a good covering for most in EA/South East. I like the GFS take on an easterly next week - there are good signals for this, and its a good time of year for an easterly to set up. That said, won't necessarily mean snow for the likes of us in Cambs, the streamers don't tend to favour our spots! But I wouldn't complain .

Blimey, any more vast corrections South and it'll end up in France!! The Meto fax chart has the front bushing the South Coast and not getting much further North... not looking good today. A tad premature but I am getting the sense many of us in EA/North of London may have to write off Thursday if these charts materialise.

Need to watch this carefully as the last couple of runs have slipped it further South too, this mornings 06z will be worth watching for signs of this. If it didn't get North of London I can sense a lot of disappointment on here but that's life!

Others may have a view but I would say London is looking in prime position for the Thursday potential as the whole system is forecast to bit a bit further South (as shown by the chart trends) which means the colder air needed will still be in place across London. How north of London the front will push and its intensity is currently the main discussion point - but 2-5cm looks likely.

Just looking in the mod thread and looking at the general trend- do you feel theres a chance it could slip a bit further South Nick and lose some of its intensity? And what's your thoughts about the extent of the snow potential on Saturday - again is it looking like mostly it'll be the South East of the region?

So we had a pleasant enough evening in Ely last night, with snow between 8-9:30pm which delivered around 2cm. Surprisingly - although much was initially covered, there was a slight thaw and many of the paths that were covered ended up becoming clear again. By this morning it had all completely froze over however - my car was like an ice block! I'm following the charts keenly regarding Thursday. It has some potential yes - and this time I believe we'll see an 'all snow' event so that will bode well. The precipitation band is slipping further and further South so we need to be a bit cautious about this one. I do detect however an overall weakening of the system with each run - so I'm not currently anticipating significant snowfall if it does reach Ely, perhaps 2-5cm max - which is exactly as all the forecasters are going by. Some on here will need to reset their expectations - its not going to be a major 'dump' as it stands - it could even all boil down to a light sprinkling!

Approaching abour 2cm now here in Ely and snow appears to have pepped up a bit

Norwich yeah? It’s on it’s way! You should get something in the next hour!

Looking at the radar I calculate Ely has roughly 2-3 more hours of moderate to light snow, and it’s all now settling, so optimistic for a good 3-4cm now. Happy days! A good result at last

Not so surprised at the snow transition but surprised at the settling rate - everything is getting covered within a short space of time

Pleased to report Heavy snow settling fast in Ely - cars and grass now covered. Very rapid progress from rain Now looks promising for covering by tomorrow

Very swift transition to snow that has just occurred here in Ely, Cambs! Happened within the space of 5 mins

Rain seems to be turning a touch on the sleety side in Ely, Cambs

All sounds promising I'd say.... especially with added 'oomph' from the night hours. Good to hear of settling snow too - goes to show not to be too down if it starts as rain, may well end up white...

Just peeped in the Midlands thread.... plenty of snow reports in there and its settling too... even after initial rain. Looking promising for a fairly widespread 'covering' I'd say, but one to watch. Interestingly - dew points have been quite favourable here for most of the day and there was still ice in the puddles only an hour ago. Won't be far off re-freezing come night-fall - that precip should hit just at the right time. But we'll see

Heart have been shouting about the 'big freeze' and 'snow on the way' for yonks, they do it mostly for raising advertisement revenues as they know most brits love a bit of snow and will click away to find out more. Most people now are seeing right through their over hyped posts as utter rubbish! Rightly so. Anyway, back to the here and now, interestingly, the netweather radar seems to suggest the cold is undercutting quite rapidly now with a swift change to sleet/snow - or is it just me?

this country lol

The weathertrending update on Facebook by John won't get the heart beating with great enthusiasm for tonight - the snow cover timelapse he's posted forecasts patchy accumulations of 1cm at best through-out. Can't be ruled out

Dare I say it the current set up for tonight favours Central/Eastern East Anglia as the precip clears at midnight, I may just be in the sweet spot with this one (for a change), depending on how much of it will fall as snow. The meto warning update reflects that - and restricts accumulations further south east (London/Kent/Surrey) to the more higher ground. We'll have to see - will be nice for the tides to turn this time though as I missed out last time! Also RE Thursday, the charts don't scream out to me a major fall (maybe up to 5cm?) - unless I'm missing something? Again completely depends on timing and whether the entire precipitation band falls as snow.

This eve looks very marginal indeed but our benefit in the east will be that the front arrives in the eve/night hours so this will help support the temperatures required - never the less gearing myself up for the worst (ie rain to sleet) but wouldn't be surprised to see snow at the same time. Each chart has a slightly different interpretation - some give 3cm others give nothing. Will be an interesting watch if nothing else... Thursday looks a bit touch and go too, I'm hoping the bulk of the precip hits in evening rather than in daytime.