Ice Man 85
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Posts posted by Ice Man 85
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1 hour ago, Summer Sun said:
Nice turn around from GFS this afternoon
Hope this continues
Well these are the TWO charts for the same run:
So someone's got their wires crossed.
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On 04/04/2018 at 11:07, markyo said:
To keep light levels as they are now would be perfect,bit of light in the mornings(not at 4am!) and bit of light in the evening but dark for bed,perfect
roll on the last sunday in october I say. 1 hour extra of sleep and the best time of year lies ahead.
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last of the pleasant days before the south-sourced muck returns.
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13 minutes ago, hillbilly said:
You should try moving a few miles east here in the pennines where it is always a couple of degrees cooler than Manchester or Leeds.I now live in the valley where it is always 2 to 3 degrees warmer than where I used to live at 340m up on the hillside,thats typically 5 degrees cooler than Manchester or Leeds as well as being much windier giving an extra coat to windchill,an eternity from London.We typically only get a handful of days above 24 deg and have hit 2 days in the last 5 years that have managed 30 deg,which is amazingly good for here .If all you cold lovers spent a few years above 300m in the pennines maybe you would look forward to some hot weather !
you moved there...
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1 minute ago, Frost HoIIow said:
Well thankfully the likes of that happening often here in the North West are pretty rare. Not had a notably hot summer month since July 2013, so that's 5 years ago. London regularly experiences upper 20s every Summer and tops 30C at least once every Summer without fail looking at Heathrow's records.
True, but it reached my bugbear conditions for a good few days last June. Bloody awful.
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1 hour ago, Ice Man 85 said:
I firmly believe that a pleasant summer in the UK is impossible. Any warmth we get is sourced from iberia, and thus laced with humidity. The prospect of upper 20s by day and high teens by night just fills me with dread.
Now *if* we could actually get a summer with dry, sunny but *average* temperatures (which for my neck of the woods is 17-19 or so by day and 10 or so by night) then there'd be no complaints from me. The MOD thread will soon be filled with heat chasers like it was with deep cold chasers all winter. Our average temps aren't enough for them.
I stand corrected; they're already here. Reminds me of the flowers from the old vitalite advert; as soon as the sun appears, they spring to life
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4 minutes ago, Purga said:
I suggest you go to Siberia for some real warmth for the next 3 months !
Looks average to cool at best in the UK
sounds wonderful. might actually be able to sleep this summer
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2 minutes ago, Frosty. said:
My fellow coldies may call me a traitor but I don't care, it's april now and I would like some proper warmth!!..the Ecm 12z supplies it!
????
Wouldn't call you a traitor lol. You have and most on here have a magic switch that changes your brain from wanting cold to wanting warmth. I'm just not made right (literally) as I don't have that switch.
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I firmly believe that a pleasant summer in the UK is impossible. Any warmth we get is sourced from iberia, and thus laced with humidity. The prospect of upper 20s by day and high teens by night just fills me with dread.
Now *if* we could actually get a summer with dry, sunny but *average* temperatures (which for my neck of the woods is 17-19 or so by day and 10 or so by night) then there'd be no complaints from me. The MOD thread will soon be filled with heat chasers like it was with deep cold chasers all winter. Our average temps aren't enough for them.
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5 minutes ago, johnholmes said:
I thought I had given a balanced response, yes summer June-September with gradual declines into winter type weather late October into December. At this end winter is December to end February with a slow climb from March into May towards summer. I am quite happy for a quick northerly blast in April so long as most days show some climb towards 'summer'.
Is that not balanced, along with my posting anomaly charts and commenting on what they show?
I couldn't begin to understand anomoly charts, therefore my post was mainly factored around mentions of summer weather in spring. for the nw at least, 18-20 is the average for peak july. april should be 12-13.
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1 minute ago, johnholmes said:
Thankfully GFS is showing decent temperatures at last. Winter is fine in meteorological winter, even in to early March but not with the start of April thank you. I'm not sure if it has the correct idea re some of its maximum values into next weekend, looking at the anomaly charts they still suggest much of the time that the upper flow is going to be from a westerly point rather than well back from that direction. links below The one showing this most is NOAA which tends to be nearer the mark than the other two. They could give some quite warm air being fed up from the south. WE have to wait and see what the weather actually decides to do a week from now.
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/500mb.php
The same not go for meteorological summer, John? Lets have some balance here.
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4 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
Roll on November when we can get back to our cold and snow chase!
Seriously though it’s felt like a very long winter. All the best synoptics turned up right at the end which is a shame . Having said that the depth of cold both in the beast and mini beast was quite exceptional for the time of year , the former in terms of windchill was probably something younger members hadn’t experienced before.
So rare has that type of easterly been in recent years.
Exactly. A certain somone's going to be insufferable over the next few months.
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Just now, cheeky_monkey said:
was it extreme cold though??..anyway i agree heat isnt the be all and end of all of a good summer...the amount of dry sunny weather is the main thing..with no humidity..tis a rare beast in the UK most summers.
was by our standards lol. sunny, dry and *average* would suit me any time of the year. That's never enough for the "enthusiasts" though
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16 minutes ago, CreweCold said:
Nope. I just don't like hot weather. It makes me feel quite sick and ill.
Fair enough I'd suggest?
A man after my own heart.
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43 minutes ago, cheese said:
You're a sadist, aren't you?
says the guy who shot me down for not wanting the extreme cold we got at the end of february. the hypocracy is delicious. Now you question the sanity of those who once again don't follow your rhetoric in the mod thread.
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Just now, Daniel* said:
Low res kicks in warm easterly maybe a bit of an inversion set up as continent will not be warm you would want something from the southeast.
SE Europe is looking toasty into April! 90F potential.
They're welcome to it.
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Really don't know whose ass their pulling that from.
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Just when you think the GFS 12z couldn't be any worse, the 18z finishes even warmer.
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very pleasant day here. cool rather than cold, but on the plus side, no muck from the south.
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3 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
HA HA, just when you thought it was all over, the GEFS at 192 say game on (possibly) again.
best not look at the end of the run, then...
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8 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:
Lovely pleasant end to GFS 12z
It is only 13 day's away from starting what could possibly go wrong
hopefully everything. doesn't have to be brassic but 3-5 c above average is a no-no
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11 minutes ago, Frosty. said:
What's great is both the gfs and ecm generally agreeing about another attack from the east..hope it gathers momentum..get this forum buzzing again as it's been dead in here since the freeze ended!
Netweather best start drafting in the gerbils to power the servers then! was like a yoyo last time
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Just now, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
think you need to change your username?
What to? Chilly Man? Slush Man lol. My idea of cold is nothing near what we are suffering right now. As I stated on my profile, my preferred temps in winter are 6-10 i.e average conditions.
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3 minutes ago, knocker said:
The EPS ens are not that bad, certainly not a return to anywhere near the cold of this week (An entirely different pattern) and in the ext period rising to average. Roll on Spring.
"average"; no sweeter word was ever spoken
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????
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted · Edited by Ice Man 85
more to add
Sorry to disappoint you: Still different. Might want to check the GEFS too. not one member shows anything like the netweather saturday chart and the sunday chart has a whopping 10% support!