Ice Man 85
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Posts posted by Ice Man 85
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2 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:
Maybe that's 1 reason people live in warmer areas because they enjoy that type of weather? Maybe people who live further north enjoy cold and snow more than heat.
I'm thinking of buying a summer home on lerwick. Beautiful place. don't think i've ever seen it break 19c there
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1976? I remember 1346 more fondly
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49 minutes ago, Daniel* said:
Maybe those that struggle with heat do their utmost to avoid it and ultimately are actually worse off. You can’t build any tolerance funny how those from cooler areas always moan the most! Try being in London I have found this very warm weather tolerable 28c today .
Yeah well london's always full of hot air. Most of it emanates from the houses of parliament.
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9 hours ago, Nick L said:
Shame all summer couldn't just be like this!
what? 3 days long? sounds good to me.
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10 hours ago, stainesbloke said:
Sounds like you might need a health check if you’re nearly fainting in 24C?
Hardly. We all feel and tolerate temperatures differently. Just like those who enjoy this muck would find 12c cold. All I know is I get headaches and start to feel sick if I'm out in it too long.
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1 hour ago, Captain Shortwave said:
I think some are over-exaggerating how bad things are. 22-26C across most of the UK with unbroken sunshine and low humidity. That really shouldn't be that intollerable to be honest. It is just pleasant for very clothing and is exactly what we needed from agriculture to tourism.
Looks like lasting until Tuesday before it looks like we will see low presure move towards the UK to bring cooler and more unsettled weather. Week 2 looks messy with low pressure filling near the UK and high pressure building to our east and from the Azores high moving in so proably some kind of easterly is likely to develop but surface details will be very difficult to pin down (It could be dry or wet and potentially cool or very warm).
Not exaggerating at all. You have to bear in mind that I can shed jackets in 12c. My body doesn't feel the cold at all. Thus, when warmer weather arrives, I suffer in it. I feel far warmer than a normal person would.
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Far too warm today. Only took the dog for a 10 minute walk and nearly passed out. Still feel nauseous now. No cloud to mitigate the sun, no breeze to speak of, and it feels a good 3 degrees warmer than it likely is. Some forecasts don't show the overnight temps tomorrow falling below 17c. I would kill for a body that finds conditions like today enjoyable.
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Comfortable is subjective. Temps that feel a good 3c above what it is, no cloud cover to mitigate the sun, no breeze to speak of. Only took my dog for a 10 minute walk and nearly passed out. Still feel nauseous now. I would kill for a body that finds this muck comfortable.
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GFS shows the wheels coming off. Crap doesn't even last until monday with the high being shoved away. God bless its heart. Whats better is that it has support. Mean comes down much earlier too. Maybe a trend?
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8 minutes ago, SizzlingHeat said:
The GFS was one of the coldest and wettest amongst its ensemble members. Many of the perturbations are very similar to the ECM op and indeed mean.
Certainly last summer the GEM was the trendsetter in terms of very warm weather and the fact it hasn't, neither the ECM backed down, should be noteworthy.
I would therefore suggest the most likely outcome would be temps ranging from mid to perhaps high twenties later this bank holiday weekend, perhaps but not conclusively reducing to the lower twenties by this time next week.
However, the GFS operational has been all over the place today alone and although has shown the breakdown coming in by next Tuesday, it still doesn't rule out temps in mid to high twenties on Sunday and Monday in particular with many ensemble members keeping the 850s at or above 10c for some days after that.
The UKMO, although slightly cooler still has 850s of 8-10c across the south on Sunday and 6-8c quite widely on Monday. So still mid twenties on Sunday and perhaps still 21-23c across the south on Monday.
GEM certainly was a trendsetter last summer. I said no to the crap that was supposed to show up mid July and the rest is history
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38 minutes ago, SizzlingHeat said:
Ecm mean looks fantastic for very warm weather. The mean shows a solid +12c isotherm Sunday and Monday with 1025-1030 pressure.
Combine that with may sunshine and temps would be no doubt soaring to the mid-high twenties.
Rest of the mean looks good throughout the week, in contrast to the GFS but much more akin to the GEM.
The mean out to 168 shows 1020 pressure widely across the country so a strong signal for pressure to remain high.
Thankfully, the JMA is a lesser model and completely at odds with the majority of the output this evening.
Roll on the early summer sunshine. Fantastic!
Can't call the UKMO a lesser model and its at odds with the ECM after sunday (+4 850s on monday). GFS calls time on the peak of the crap on tuesday. Since nobody takes the GEM seriously, its the ECM thats the oddball.
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8 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
mid 20's great, would like it every day this summer. 30 though not pleasant, and unnecessary
mid 20s are 23-27. you can really call 27 that much different from 30?
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On the plus side, the JMA 12z shows the muck gone after sunday and much cooler 850s coming into the country shortly after. God bless them.
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1 minute ago, cheese said:
We've had high pressure with temps in the high teens and low 20s.
No chance of that from May onwards.
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Just now, Ed Stone said:
Will you ever stop moaning?
Certainly. When the models stop turning what could have been nice weather into a humid heatfest.
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1 minute ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
first bit of that reminds me of 2 months tomorrow!
not sure about 2nd bit, GFS is pants, just like our last warm spell, 3 days, then back to 10 degrees and cold wind
Well I don't call mid 20s+ "pleasant". It is impossible to get pleasant temps from high pressure outside the winter in this country. I'll keep saying that until I'm proven wrong.
Would charts being shown 2 weeks+ away verify in the winter? No. The models would drop them after entertaining the idea for a day or 2. Warm charts though, they show, they stay, they get worse.
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Roll on october is all I can say. I am *really* trying to be "normal" but mid-high 20s as is being projected doesn't float my boat. To think there was hope that this "warm" spell would actually be tolerable in the low 20s. It is to laugh.
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2 hours ago, weatherguru14 said:
Am no expert, so I have been told. But the chars look amazing if you like early summer weather. I really hope it comes to fruition and its not a big let down..
You needn't fear. If it means making me suffer, they'll verify.
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Game, set and match. Any hopes of pleasant non-humid temps are dead.
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21 minutes ago, knocker said:
There is still the question of the orientation of the ridge.high cell over the weekend as the ecm illustrates which, although still portending light winds and dry, does tend to impact the regional distribution and range of the temps and cloud amounts. Thus the ecm does not make as much of the Atlantic trough as the gfs and promotes the Bermuda high pressure again which forms a horizontal high cell mainly west of Scotland by 1200 Sunday.
Really can't see how temps that low can come from those 850s. Gets even worse early next week. Any hope of pleasant temps coming from this "warm" spell are dead. Can see 30 being reached easily at this rate. Wouldn't it be novel if Nathan Rao was right for once
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1 minute ago, B87 said:
May 2016 was a much better month even though it never really got hot. It was always mild or warm and had normal amounts of sun, unlike 2012 which was total dross for 3 weeks, with most of the sun for the month coming in a 10 day spell.
London does very well for warmth lol. Try moving to scotland.
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Well every weather site that uses the ECM shows a max of 22c in london next week
Sad state of affairs if Nathan Rao trumps the "experts"
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3 minutes ago, B87 said:
May 2012 had 10 days in a row with temps at or above 25c, but it wasn't a great month. Certainly not one for the history books.
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2 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:
Everything is better in the US , wonder sometimes why I ever came back .
A proper cup of tea and coronation street? can't think of anything else.
Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Dew points have been fairly high though. Temperatures in the house barely falling too. Haven't slept very well these last few nights and thats despite having a fan running. For me, a breeze decides whether its tolerable or too much. the sun is too strong now to be comfortable without one.
Was joking lol. Certainly don't envy their weather though. where I live is always on the borderline where hot air is considered. Places north of here often get away with the worst of it.