Bricriu
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Posts posted by Bricriu
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3 minutes ago, blizzard81 said:
That chart led on to one of the mildest winters I can remember. And that's saying something.
Oh. Which winter was this?
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5 minutes ago, blizzard81 said:
It could be worse. Much, much worse.
That is a Significant amount of blocking. Whatever about it getting cold enough for snow, surely there would be no swift return to zonality from that.
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It looks like a dry settled period, but no real widespread snowy period due to high pressure never making it up to Greenland. It's really frustrating with the bulk of the PV gone on holidays from Greenland. It will more than likely return by Mid December. I suspect we could end up with some stormy conditions soon after.
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7 minutes ago, Day 10 said:
ECM, GFS & GEM at 192 not a million miles apart.
Am I wrong in thinking the High has shifted too far west on that ECM charts for us- the cold plunge seems to miss us and head in to the Atlantic sea.
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10 hours ago, mountain shadow said:
After reading that, I don't think Cohen has anymore clue than us what the PV is going to do.
To many conflicting signals.
He has been wrong in the past. I hope he is right about the Canadian Warming bit, though.
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1 minute ago, Snowman. said:
Personally the main problem was the overdoing of the arctic high. ICON did it too but today they've scaled it back a lot.
But that Russian seems to have appeared out of nowhere so that's interesting but is it friend or foe?
Are you suggesting the Russian High might move over towards Scandanavia?
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Is a pv disruption likely by mid December then?
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Personally I'm glad we won't be seeing 30c in London this week. I don't fancy it when stuck in traffic jams! It's welcome when i'm off and can go to the seaside or a local park.
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Looks like some intense thunderstorms are on their way up from France!
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37 minutes ago, Uxbridge90 said:
Humidity was horrendous today, looking forward to the storm potential, early night considering it probably won't kick off till around 3am.
I'm glad we don't get humidity like this regularly. I could never live in South East Asia for this reason. Looking forward to the thunder and lightning later on tonight!
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Could the Kent region get some snow on Saturday night? If so, i'm going to drive there to see it:)
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When did it last snow in London during April? I would love a bit of nightime snow this April (very unlikely, i know) , it would be gone in the morning, but snow in London usually does not hang around long anyway.
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2 hours ago, TomSE12 said:
Hi Bricriu,
How about a March snowfall like this one?
I recommend reading about the March 1970 snowfall, on Trevor Harley's enjoyable - The British Weather, website. There are some excellent "stats", about that month. on there.
Let's hope for a similar snowy spell, to that one!!
Regards,
Tom.
Hello Tom,
That would do nicely. Can you make it happen:) I will read that article you mentioned. Thanks.
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Well, i am not losing hope for some snow after reading Tom's post about that April snowfall. I am definitely not in the isn't this weather wonderful camp- it's just wrong for it to be so mild at this time of year. Nature will hopefully balance things out come March. A March like 2013, except a bit snowier, would be nice!
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Roll on The Siberian Beast in March. I'm not ready for spring just yet. I'd settle even for just one more night of snow with a decent covering.
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3 hours ago, Gray-Wolf said:
We can't take it as a literal readout of what will happen over the next period can we?
The posting style of some posters gives the impression that they think it is a certainity. When it does not happen they often cite an extenuating circumstance- with the phantom of easterly 2012 it was a sudden uptick in solar actvity.... On another occasion it was because the vortex had displaced, rather than split, despite the overwhelmingly evidence saying it had. I am not trying to disparage others for putting their thoughts out there, and just having go because they they got it wrong, rather it think it's better to admit when something is a bust and look for the reasons why.
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Poor Fred. He put up a courageous battle.
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2 hours ago, TomSE12 said:
Now there's a thing, core of heights rising to sit over Scandinavia by 15th of the month!!
I wonder if they're all happy bunnies, now? I'm too drained, to look!!
Of course, it still might not happen But that's Weather Models for you. Get over it!!
Regards,
Tom.
Will that low in the Atlantic topple South East, or will the high be toppled instead by energy running over the top?
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44 minutes ago, yamkin said:
Interesting CFS 12Z Model BFTE Set Up
In CSF we trust.
It's more likely that Lord Lucan will be found alive and well somewhere in Greenland. I am done chasing phantom north easterlies- unless they are showing at t-48 on the models during the last week of February
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The ninja snow last week gave a modest covering, i can't see the same happening this time around. Still I must not grumble too much, it's nice to see snow falling anytime.
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Snow has gotten heavier now,with some snow on the grass and cars, but not sticking on the ground, as the temperature is not low enough it seems
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The snow has got a bit heavier now. It is starting to stick on the car now.
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The snow has become lighter and smaller in size. I wonder will it get heavier again before the clearance in a couple of hours?
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Just now, Steve Murr said:
yes back building !
Love that saying
Just don't mention the other word that comes after back
Looks like some intense thunderstorms are on their way up from France!
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
It looks like a pattern change to me with the heights over Iberia. I notice the GFS has now gone for a milder outlook too. So it looks increasingly likely that the Atlantic will make a return by mid- month.