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Everything posted by Day_9
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Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Day_9 replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Day_9 replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Will do!! -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Day_9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
COBRA charts -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Day_9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We were off school for weeks, just after Christmas as I recall, 5’ icicles off the side of the house, power cuts, the lot -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Day_9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Where can we see verification stats? Have had more frosty mornings here on the s wales riviera this year than have seen for a good few years -
Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Day_9 replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I love the way people refer to the weather “as a joke” in the same way they refer to a government or organisation THIS WINTER IS AN ABSOLUTE JOKE Lolz all round. This winter is this winter. So far it’s been colder than we’ve had in a long time and today is bloody freezing -
Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Day_9 replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Absolutely. It’s already very cold indeed in Moscow under that huge high. -
Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
Day_9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Russian high is also rapidly cooling down a significant landmass to our east. It is December 3rd. the problem With models Is that they are just that. Models. -
What with it being the hunt for cold thread an’ all.....
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GEFS has the prolonged cold for February ending on the 3rd Feb. yes, cold snow for some over the next couple of days but not a noteable event and certainly not the arctic freezer type conditons many yearn. lessons? Models are just that, and they have all failed big time this winter. Everything of interest is always at T240 with a 48 hour climbdown on every event...... how does gfs vs ecm look on verification stats this week?
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Whats the timeframe/model/run please?
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No, people say Wales and the Midlands without realising that that won’t mean yhe entire country. e.g “major event for wales and the midlands” well, no actually. Completely different between Penarth/Barry at southernmost tip amd Llandudno at northern most.
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Wales is 200 miles long.
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Day off work
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Hi Paul, isnt that the definition of bants? Or top bants even? Isn’t that why there’s a focussed model discussion thread and then this one to provide a safe space for weather AND bants? Given the dire downturn in output I feel that bants is an important coping mechanism for those of us who’s lives are preoccupied with chasing snow for 3 -5 months of the year!
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Winter weather chat, moans, banter and ramps
Day_9 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Where’s all the posts gone? -
Ah! The eponymous day 10!!!
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Or understood. This is new science. Our understanding of this phenomenon is at the very beginning.
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Cardiff looking nailed on to see a sprinkle mon into tues. brief ‘mild’ (less cold) interlude next weekend before temps nosedive - and look - double figures in the snow row from semi-reliable all the way to the end.
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Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?
Day_9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Two then against an overwhelmingly cold trend, cold cold cold signals consistently all saying the same thing. Big picture needed to be borne in mind... -
You could but the sea will be frozen
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Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
Day_9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I don’t know but you have an amazing nom de plume -
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Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
Day_9 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion