Joe Snow

Light snow has arrived in Sandbach

Skies are looking snowy to my NW - might be an interesting night at the airport

An ice day here managed to get up to 0c today with sunny skies clouding over with the odd grain of snow in the past hour will be radar watch and now cast tonight but anywhere between 2- 10cm seems to be possible. Parts of Cumbria have definitely hit the jackpot snow wise today though - deepest snow some locations have had in a long while. Big Question though is it the south of the regions turn tonight?!

Baffling really maybe it reflects the potential for marginality but even so I think falling wet snow will occur right on the coast through the night.

NW England is a different beast but encouraged by the heavy snowfall over Scotland where snowfall seems to be much more than expected/ MO forecast with Glasgow Airport closed. Bodes well for our own chances tonight maybe

-5c everything frozen solid including the bins that I’ve only just found out trying to empty the kitchen bin into - I should know better!

Not as much no - it affects Gtr MCR, South Lancs & NE Cheshire/ Stockport, Tameside area more. Classic but cruel case was 18th Jan 2013 - 8cm here, schools closed half way through the day and just a dusting in Stockport.

How do you see this evening & tonight playing out? Like Chris has said it looks like there is the potential for it to be good but with marginality in the mix too

Yeah Gtr Manchester, N Cheshire, Peaks & Pennines were plastered by that 5th Jan event. Merseyside and the Wirral also did well but with perhaps not quite as deep snow. Here in South Cheshire we were just a bit too south of the heaviest band of snow showers but still managed 5-10cm of the white stuff. Not comparable like I say but fingers crossed for tonight 2-7cm if all goes to plan

Not a comparable event by any means but the 5th Jan 2010 event on the 4th Jan was under forecasted as ‘a few wintry showers’ the MO then ended up putting out a flash severe weather warning for heavy snow in the early hours and Manchester ended up with nearly a ft of snow! Back to the here and now lots to watch tonight - I would say a conservative 2-5cm possible if sleet/ snow takes hold as forecast I’ve lived in the NW long enough though to expect nothing and you won’t be disappointed!

It would - although inland I’m always nervous our relatively low elevation might scupper things for us especially in these more marginal set ups.

GFS 12z gives much of the region several hours of moderate-heavy sleet & snow Saturday night into Sunday with the potential for further outbreaks of sleet/ snow throughout Sunday daytime. It’ll be down to the wire this one but a snow event of sorts might well be shaping up for this weekend?

For Cheshire? I haven’t seen anything. Chance of snow Saturday night into Sunday though. Eyes on the 12z

Interesting 12z tonight - might we be entering a battleground kind of winter? Last one of sorts was the Lockdown Winter 2020/21 lots of marginal snow events, an ebb and flow of cold and less cold air but remaining on the largely colder side of things between late Dec and early Feb. Lots of interest as we enter the first day of meteorological Winter tomorrow that's for sure

-1c already it was frosty all day in the shelter from any weak sunlight here in South Cheshire - think we might see -4c or locally -5c tonight. Shame we can’t seem to squeeze a little bit of snow out of this spell before milder weather looks to be returning in some form next week though but question is for how long?

Who knows we might squeeze a dusting out of this spell yet! There is the potential for small features to pop up at short notice I guess but less so than you would perhaps expect given the set up.

We got a few inches late Nov- early December 2010 even at this elevation, memorably cold by day and night too, a milder blip mid month then a resurgence of cold bringing with it the heaviest snowfall of the big freeze 12-15cm of snow that we saw on and around the 17th/18th December 2010 with deep snow cover till Boxing Day, think it might have been a polar low & it was magic to watch coming down from memory and practically day after tomorrow snow depths for South Cheshire standards! Am I hoping for too much for a repeat this year?!

Think the potential for something colder and more noteworthy in terms of snowfall is there after perhaps a milder blip closer to mid month. At the moment it is just a cold start to Winter with some wintry precipitation about, not the early freeze and ice days of last year and definitely not on the epic level of 2010 but a cold start that may well be extended with time - it won’t happen but a Christmas coinciding cold spell with snow would be brilliant Winter 2020/21 brought snow post Xmas (27th/28th) but you have to go back to 2010 for snow cover on Xmas Day and deep snow cover at that after the very heavy snow of the 17th/18th Dec that year

Looks about right! It was London & the SE that got a covering of snow in last December’s cold spell too.

Getting Dec 2017 vibes from the latest charts - with wintry precipitation about but it looks a messy, slider high risk, high reward kind of scenario. The Midlands and higher ground as per probably being in the sweet spot but the wider NW still holding tickets for the prize draw just maybe for the 2nd and 3rd prize with us being perhaps too far north or on the edge of systems. The potential for something even colder developing as we move further into December needs watching too

Got down to -2c overnight first frost of the season here in S Cheshire. Considering we have had to sometimes with the exception of last December’s freeze wait until deep into December to even see a frost in some recent years it’s not bad going. Personally I don’t think the cold spell we’ll be entering will be as big as some on the MOD thread are making out cold by day, frosty at times, some wintry precipitation in the mix but it may well be the opener to a bigger bite of Winter later on into December/ the Winter

We might still be in the last days of autumn but today certainly felt like a early plunge into winter. Late Nov-Early Dec are often a grey, drab, damp often mild or close to average kind of time but its not looking so this year - lots of interest as we enter December and the Christmas festivities

Shades of 2009/10 in some ways but we shall see - some cold, bright and frosty weather to start the festive period would be great after our very wet autumn.

Another wet miserable Sunday weather wise - Nov-early Dec is usually the wettest most dank time of year anyway I suppose. Late month into early Dec shows some signs of interest but probably a few garden paths and false starts as always before anything resembling proper winter arrives.

In the last hour more Irish counties inc Dublin have gone to status red wind warnings (Met Eireann) following on from the Met Office Amber for SE Northern Ireland. Storm Debi has crept up on us to some extent so there’s a higher level of uncertainty it seems than usual with these kind of Storm events. Ireland looks likely to be impacted by the worst of the winds but we don’t look like escaping it here in the NW particularly for the North & Western coastal parts of the region that will potentially be upgraded to an Amber Warning in the coming hours. One to watch for sure