Supacell

More showers developing to the NW of Manchester and a second band currently from Lancashire to NE Yorkshire. All this is heading SE so more to look forward to possibly. This current band of snow is moving off to my south now, although still moderate snow falling.

Big 50p flakes here, everything white.

Heavy snow in Derby, sent everything white within minutes. Falling thick and fast with huge flakes

Lightning detected near Wirksworth - thundersnow.

Finally, decent snow shower has arrived here

My Peak District drive is off the menu then Good fun and games for you and the others already there though, have fun. A little shred of hope for us further south and missing all the fun so far. If you run the radar sequence over the last 2 hours you can see that although the showers are running pretty much W to E along a line across northern parts of the region, the line of showers is gradually moving south.

I don't think we can really say "heat of the day" in January For today I would think most of us should see snow from these showers, although the further south you are the higher the risk of it being more of a wintry mix. I am not a weather forecaster but I would think heavier showers will almost certainly be of snow. Whether it will settle though is a different matter and I personally don't see much accumulation away from high ground (although maybe for a time this evening an area of snow moves NW to SE across some of us). I agree on tomorrow though, from the early hours onwards we see dewpoints rise to just above freezing so showers will be of sleet/rain for all of us. I would take no notice of BBC forecasts for Monday, it's too far off. These weather symbols can and do change only hours before so 5 days away is almost certain to change.

The risk of thundersnow today, even for our region, as disturbances run down from the NW. Estofex have 15% lightning risk for the whole UK and parameters do look promising. Of course, this does not mean everyone will see/hear it. There have been a few reports in the NW and Yorkshire areas of thundersnow overnight and I think this risk becomes more widespread today.

Great footage Scott. I have hopes that a few more people will hear the odd rumble of thunder today with several disturbances in the NW flow. Anything that does develop is developing in an environment of around 40-60knts of deep layer shear, although this tends to decrease from the north during the afternoon. The whole UK is in the 15% lightning risk area for today according to Estofex. NMM shows CAPE values of 200-400j/kg, higher along the Lancashire and Merseyside coastlines this morning. Overnight the CAPE values increase in the SW and then along the S coast also. Snow is unlikely along the coasts where the highest CAPE is but inland there is the chance for more lucky folk to see the elusive thundersnow today. Get your recording equipment ready when you see those dark skies approaching

Nothing here, the showers have been to the north and south all night. However, from the reports in here it doesn't look like anyone away from the higher ground has had much. To be fair that is exactly what the BBC and Met Office have been saying with their yellow warning area pretty much spot on. Now, if they are also spot on about today then this gives me some hope as the charts show a lot of snow showers moving across during today and tonight. From an IMBY perspective all I require is the showers to move just a little more NW to SE than W to E and it's game on for that stream across the north of the region to hit here. However, I am not holding my breath. Immaterial anyway, as I am going for a drive

Hoping the batch of showers around Stoke can make it here.

Derby not doing well either with only a few flakes all day and everything missing just a few miles to the north. Mountain forecast for Peak District looks good for tomorrow (heavy snow and blizzards). My plan is to head up there and do some filming but just hope the roads are clear enough to get.

Snow showers so far are missing Derby by a hairs width to the north. If they could just penetrate a couple of miles further south. Tomorrow looks a better prospect for more of us to see something.

That second cold front moving in from the NW looks quite intense and reports in the NW England thread of very gusty winds, torrential rain and hail. Although the most intense area looks set to be cross over N England it could turn quite wet and squally within the next couple of hours.

I am liking the sound of the BBC/Met Office forecast for tonight in the East Midlands: TonightCold and windy with further snow showers and icy stretches forming on untreated surfaces. Significant snow accumulations are likely in places by the end of the night, mainly over hills. Looking at the models to determine where exactly showers will be is pointless but they do show most, if not all of us, getting some of the white stuff at some point over the next 36 hours. I do not expect any huge amounts (away from the western Peak District) but a few cm's will do me considering the snow possibilities then look to go on into next week.

We managed one decent snowfall in Derby on Boxing Day and this then lasted on the ground for 4-5 days afterwards. There was nothing here from the last cold spell. The Peak District always does well with snow from any direction, on Weds night and Thursday the NW exposure would likely get a pasting. So Buxton; A53 Buxton-Leek; Cat and Fiddle on route to Macclesfield; Buxton to Glossop. If you want to see proper snow head up there, but be careful as those roads get blocked very quick when the snow sets in.

The Peak District looks to the best placed in our region for proper snow over the next few days. Tomorrow night and into Thursday brings a threat of snow for most of us but outside of this I can see it being very hit and miss with some places getting snow and others not, as is the way with showers. A mild sector may spoil the party for a time on Friday before it turns colder again. Over the weekend it does look like a wishbone scenario on first glance, but I would expect snow showers to band at times and this bring a risk for our regions too. Again though, nothing is definite - it may happen in your back yard and it may not. I would not like to be a forecaster this week.... well actually I would, it would be my dream job even when forecasting is difficult. Myself, I am off work the rest of this week so will likely head up into the Peak District on Thursday which currently looks the best day in the reliable time frame. This way I feel certain I will get to see some decent snow. Edit: Buxton looks very well placed, as does Glossop, for plenty of snow showers.

A sleet fest from the beeb and met office for me in Derby. I will wait and see what falls out of the sky as seems to be snow for most from the reports. Problem for me is Derby is only 50m asl.

Latest charts and forecast are not good for widespread low level lying snow I am afraid. My thoughts are that most of us will see snow falling from the sky but it does look like it will be mixed in with some sleet and rain with a wintry mix being a better description. There may be a few low lying areas who see some lying snow but amounts will likely be negligible and transient. Over higher ground it is a different story with areas over around 200m likely to keep all the precipitation as snow. However, even here the amounts will not be that great as the precipitation does not look overly heavy by the time it reaches the Midlands. Overall I would hazard a guess at small temporary accumulations possible on low ground under 200m, around 2-5cm above 200m and possibly a little more over the very tops of the Peak District where there is already a covering from snow at the weekend. Not the best of news I know, I would have liked to see a decent snowfall myself, especially after all the promise shown in the models a few days ago.

The GFS 00z is a great run for snow with a 24 hour snowfall for some on Tues night/Wednesday and then another snow event on Friday. However, the NMM 00z is not quite so good with the two "snow" events actually producing more of a rain/sleet/snow mix away from high ground. If NMM is on the money (still plenty of time for changes/upgrades/downgrades) then I do not see big accumulations away from high ground. If GFS is correct then some of us could be looking at the best snowfall since March 2013, although that wouldn't be hard considering last winters complete lack of snow. Either way, if you live above about 200m it will be of snow and you can probably expect to be getting a snow pasting through this week. Maybe I should move to Buxton for a few days GFS snow accumulation by the end of the week, most of this falls on Wednesday then sticks around:

It looks from the radar like some snow is heading my way too with a slight northerly component to the shower direction.

The Netweather V6 radar shows all precipitation to the north and west of Birmingham is of snow, aside from on the coasts.

An interesting looking radar signature in South Wales just NW of Cardiff. There are sferics and it is exhibiting a definite hook shape.

Some thunderstorms off the west coast of Wales and a few strikes elsewhere across the UK. A lucky few could get to see some thundersnow tonight I feel. Oh if only my area was in with a chance Looks like widespread 60mph+ gusts across a wide swathe of the country tomorrow night, especially just around a cold front sweeping SE and then some even stronger winds to the south of the low pressure system - wherever that positions itself. After that more snow and ice possibilities. An interesting period of weather coming up.

This is the predicted wind gusts so it will only be as accurate as the forecast. I do not know for certain but I assume these figures are based on human input and will be from a range of models, I do not believe the Met Office always stick to there own ukmo model. If anyone here knows more maybe they can clarify. For actual wind speeds that are occurring I use this site: http://www.xcweather.co.uk/ Not sure on its accuracy though.