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Everything posted by Premiere Neige
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Premiere Neige replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Luckily I can't stand whisky. I'd hate a whisky hangover! The time I drank too much vodka was about 3/4 of a bottle. On top of lager. I won't say how much. The over exuberance of youth -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Premiere Neige replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'd probably get a better night's sleep if I did Sorry for late reply, I've just had to talk my mum through the intricacies of sending a complaint email to an online retailer. Why she needed to send it at this time on a Saturday night is beyond me. Sorry....what were we talking about? What thread is this again? Something to do with weather isn't it? -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Premiere Neige replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Several farmers fields caught fire here in July 2022 which weren't caused by arson or barbecues... I remember doing that when I was about 20 (26 years ago ) and it was 2 years before I drank vodka again -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Premiere Neige replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Thank you for your kind words! -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Premiere Neige replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Given the fires 2 summers ago, I'd rather not! -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Premiere Neige replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Been at a pantomime full of noisy kids so I felt I deserved a drink! -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Premiere Neige replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Quasi Biannual Oscillation. Don't ask me to explain it to you.....I've had too much beer! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Premiere Neige replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Seem to remember you saying that prior to the recent cold spell and yet many of us had snow and frost... -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Premiere Neige replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It's a hobby for some. There's one who frequents the model thread pretending to like cold. He mysteriously vanishes when the cold appears then pops up again as soon as it breaks down.... -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Premiere Neige replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Teleconnections - background drivers of the weather e.g. el niño/la niña, East or west QBO, MJO (Madden Julian Oscillation) etc. Not sure what TLDR is... -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Premiere Neige replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
If you like rain and wind. Not my cup of tea though.... -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Premiere Neige replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I know that 3 weeks is usually quoted as the lag time for the effects of an SSW to be felt.......trouble is, we can't tell if we reach SSW (+50°c) on those charts. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Premiere Neige replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Before everyone (of a cold persuasion) starts slashing their wrists.....the long range modelling showed little in the way of cold for December. I consider what we've had this week as a bonus. If we're going to get sustained cold this winter, it was always looking more likely in January and February (and March). Edit: It also pays to remember we're only on day 2 of meteorological winter. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Premiere Neige replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Uncertainty begins in 2 days time it seems... -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Premiere Neige replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
First thing that chart/gif said to me was "oh no you don't!". And it is pantomime season after all. Sorry....I'll get my coat -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Premiere Neige replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Some people yesterday (and earlier) were calling an end to the cold spell and I was thinking they were jumping the gun a bit. Didn't say anything so as not to cause an argument and derail the thread. We have seen the models chopping and changing so much over the past week. There is too much volatility to call the outcome yet. FI is about T72 at the moment! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Premiere Neige replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'm not an expert but as far as I am aware they don't. They get dispersed when they reach the ionosphere which is why we see the aurora. Think that's how it works... -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Premiere Neige replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
On Gavs Weather Vids during last years winter updates he talked about it and did a reanalysis section (can't remember which model) but the Canadian warming was definitely November 1962. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Premiere Neige replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
*meteorological winter