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Premiere Neige

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Everything posted by Premiere Neige

  1. Premiere Neige
    Didn't an Azores high migrate up to Greenland in 2009/10? (I may have the year wrong)
  2. Premiere Neige
    That's the one. Obviously he didn't do it as well as Rob used to!
  3. Premiere Neige
    Just watched the BBC weekly forecast. They mentioned it turning colder at the end of the week and he said in a kind of Rob McElwwe style that there's a possibility of things turning much colder after that
  4. Premiere Neige
    Maybe. But that's still the fault of humans really...
  5. Premiere Neige
    You have to wonder how 2 of the best models can be so different...
  6. Premiere Neige
    Are these charts an average of all the models mentioned?
  7. Premiere Neige
    Are you saying that because you've had 11 "bad" winters in 76 years in your back yard that global warming doesn't exist? If so, then that's kind of missing the point of global... Surely human input into man made pollution is 100%?
  8. Premiere Neige
    Maybe that's why nobody is looking at it!
  9. Premiere Neige
    To be honest, I'm not expecting December 2010 (or anything like it). I think the main risk of cold will come after Christmas as other, more knowledgeable posters have mused. Anything we get before then will be a bonus so I'm not going to get downbeat about it. If there's something showing at day 4 or 5 in the models pre Christmas then I'll sit up and take notice.
  10. Premiere Neige
    It never gets closer than day 10 and if/when it does, it gets watered down?
  11. Premiere Neige
    Similar levels of snow here. Snow on the ground from 26th November until around 26th/27th December...
  12. Premiere Neige
    Nobody "knows" but you can make an educated guess based on the current drivers in play and by looking back at previous winters with similar conditions to get an idea of the likely outcome.
  13. Premiere Neige
    I read it as a lower than average chance of an ssw through February as well so if you're reading it wrong so am I.
  14. Premiere Neige
    Rarely would it on 10th November...
  15. Premiere Neige
    Conversely, if we get the -16 isotherm through the UK we'll be buried...
  16. Premiere Neige
    If I remember correctly the models (a couple of days ago) also show the strength of zonal winds falling off a cliff late November/early December.
  17. Premiere Neige
    Does anyone know when we last had a November warming? I know there was one in 1962...
  18. Premiere Neige
    CFS is always disappointing when looking for cold long range!
  19. Premiere Neige
    You surprise me!
  20. Premiere Neige
    Yeah.....probably best not to!
  21. Premiere Neige
    They should get a lump of coal in their Christmas stocking......or a snowball!
  22. Premiere Neige
    I feel your pain. Cooler weather on the way though! I don't....
  23. Premiere Neige
    Do not utter that name!
  24. Premiere Neige
  25. Premiere Neige
    What a strange coincidence......I used to be a northerner darn sarf!! Lived in Oxfordshire for a couple of years between 2015 and 2017
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