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Everything posted by Jamie M
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Storms and convective discussion - 1st April 2021 onwards
Jamie M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and convective discussion - 1st April 2021 onwards
Jamie M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and convective discussion - 1st April 2021 onwards
Jamie M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I'm sure it'll come in summer this year and we won't be so lacking of storms last year because that was dreadful. It's only the start of April though. -
Storms and Convective discussion- 15th August onwards
Jamie M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion- 15th August onwards
Jamie M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion- 15th August onwards
Jamie M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Love these PM spring showery days, especially when you live next to the sea. Beautiful mammatus structures on many of the anvils I've seen going past today. Lack of lightning but good to see the lively active nature of things again! I'll link to one of my favourite WW shots from the local area. My report for Chartham WWW.BBC.CO.UK Chartham, Kent -
Not entirely sure where to post this so please feel free to move it about if you need to. I was randomly strolling through folders I had when I came upon a video with a time lapse of a roll cloud and what appears to be an ever so slight rotating base from a storm just before it near the latter half of the video. Found the radar snap for the particular cell and nothing seems notable on it. Video is below, sorry for the terrible quality, any ideas? Untitled.mp4
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Storms and Convective discussion- 15th August onwards
Jamie M replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Day 1 Convective Outlook VALID 06:00 UTC Wed 03 Mar 2021 - 05:59 UTC Thu 04 Mar 2021 ISSUED 07:26 UTC Wed 03 Mar 2021 ISSUED BY: Dan An upper low, initially over the western English Channel on Wednesday morning, will drift slowly northeastwards then east-northeastwards to become centred near west London by midnight Wednesday night, then east-southeastwards over the Strait of Dover by 06z Thursday. The associated cold pool will aid in some steepening of the mid-level lapse rates, yielding some weak elevated CAPE - but increasing to a few hundred J/kg CAPE in response to SSTs and any diurnal heating inland. Showery outbreaks of rain will likely slide across parts of central and southern Britain through Wednesday and Wednesday night, although the risk of lightning with this is considered rather low (5% chance). Nonetheless, the slow movement - especially on Wednesday night over parts of East Anglia and/or the East Midlands - could result in some locally large rainfall accumulations. Rather extensive cloud will likely limit insolation, however some support for breaks in the cloud to develop in south and more especially southwest England which would allow greater surface heating to occur. Here, given the slack surface pattern and a small low centre in the vicinity, low-level convergence coupled with orographic forcing may aid forced ascent to generate a few heavy showers. Forecast profiles are rather saturated with weak shear and limited CAPE, and so the risk of lightning is considered quite low (10% chance) but a few isolated lightning strikes might be possible. The main area of interest is primarily southern counties of England, perhaps as far north as Gloucestershire and encompassing part of south Wales depending on sufficient cloud breaks. The moist boundary layer (low cloud bases) and convergence may allow a few funnel clouds to occur. -
Wednesday 24th February weather observations
Jamie M replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
09:30 15.5c 8c dp S'ly wind