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Everything posted by Vikos
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Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
12z---> I like this1050 greenland high... -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Classic GFS-style for me: predicting smthg big in fi, than swinging back or delaying it with every new run a bit more, until just a cold fart remains. Only hope: the big patterns this season are quite better then the last years have ever been... -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well, Santa might be freezing on this one -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well, cold isn't the only thing... For my place, we could have that Coca-Cola-Commercial XMAX-Eve Snow (maybe above 300m) -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Will it split?! -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For me, the most significant thing this season is this massive cold block to the east and the lack of cold air over Canada. If this block starts moving westwards, than, oh boy oh boy... -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good morning! I haven't read all pages since yesterday evening, so may I repeat this, but is there a chance for a SSW? A minor for sure... -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Why I think that this year the setup is a lot better for cold (and maybe snow) spells is the fact, that the main cold air block this year is on the opposite side of the NH. So for me this is a big pattern change, hopefully the cold doesn't shift over the pole towards Canada this year (to initiate a very strong west drift) versus last year (same date) -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you would compare to yesterdays 12z that would be way better for analysis, due the fact that 06z and 18z differ in (less) data input as as I know. -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
But the comparision must be made with the charts from the preivious day like 00z to 00z. Comparing 00z to 06z f.e. doesn't make any sense due the lack of a lot of information in the runs of 06z and 18z (mostly radio probes information that is missing in 06 an 18z). Correct me if I am wrong (and excuse my maybe freaklish english) -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Comparison 6z GFS today / yesterday It's swinging... Just to show that there is no sense to search anything past 144h, my oppinion... -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Question: Is GFS still bias'ed with calculating too much atalntic power? -
Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Vikos replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes, some nice Lake Effect snowfalls is the cherry on that cup cake -
Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Vikos replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Easterlies deliver more like bone-dry continental cold, what we need is more like N-NE with moisture. At least for my position (Germany) -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Last year I've been in Florida for XMAS and NY and I can tell you, it's not that bad having a xmas-bbq at 28°C -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Like all the years before, XMAS-BBQ outside in the garden with a T-Shirt and a cold beer... -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Who has those days? -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Aslong as there is no significant change in the rossby wave pattern in any foreacast-modell, there is minimum hope to get some realiable cold spells to mid-europe soon. The jet is not showing any good amplitude changes... We need smthg like this My regards from boring Germany -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What we need What we actualy have Right now, we can only pray to the god of snow... -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Vikos replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That is just the right answer to all persemistic posts here! Like "think big!"... the patterns this season are better then the last years, so we just need to chill a bit. A early start with cold and snow wasn't always that good TBH, it's like shooting all of his powder at once. Rember 2010, very good winter, but then total fail from January on... Regards from Germany -
But, will it SPLIT
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Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!
Vikos replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Could be the FINAL MW which happens often @ the end of met. winter time -
That massive cold block over Arctic Siberia and the vanished Canada PV cold looks decent to me
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It's all down to EC now to make it a Straight Flush or just a simple pair
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Winter...