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Vikos

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Everything posted by Vikos

  1. Classic GFS-style for me: predicting smthg big in fi, than swinging back or delaying it with every new run a bit more, until just a cold fart remains. Only hope: the big patterns this season are quite better then the last years have ever been...
  2. Well, cold isn't the only thing... For my place, we could have that Coca-Cola-Commercial XMAX-Eve Snow (maybe above 300m)
  3. For me, the most significant thing this season is this massive cold block to the east and the lack of cold air over Canada. If this block starts moving westwards, than, oh boy oh boy...
  4. Good morning! I haven't read all pages since yesterday evening, so may I repeat this, but is there a chance for a SSW? A minor for sure...
  5. Why I think that this year the setup is a lot better for cold (and maybe snow) spells is the fact, that the main cold air block this year is on the opposite side of the NH. So for me this is a big pattern change, hopefully the cold doesn't shift over the pole towards Canada this year (to initiate a very strong west drift) versus last year (same date)
  6. If you would compare to yesterdays 12z that would be way better for analysis, due the fact that 06z and 18z differ in (less) data input as as I know.
  7. But the comparision must be made with the charts from the preivious day like 00z to 00z. Comparing 00z to 06z f.e. doesn't make any sense due the lack of a lot of information in the runs of 06z and 18z (mostly radio probes information that is missing in 06 an 18z). Correct me if I am wrong (and excuse my maybe freaklish english)
  8. Comparison 6z GFS today / yesterday It's swinging... Just to show that there is no sense to search anything past 144h, my oppinion...
  9. Yes, some nice Lake Effect snowfalls is the cherry on that cup cake
  10. Easterlies deliver more like bone-dry continental cold, what we need is more like N-NE with moisture. At least for my position (Germany)
  11. Last year I've been in Florida for XMAS and NY and I can tell you, it's not that bad having a xmas-bbq at 28°C
  12. Like all the years before, XMAS-BBQ outside in the garden with a T-Shirt and a cold beer...
  13. Aslong as there is no significant change in the rossby wave pattern in any foreacast-modell, there is minimum hope to get some realiable cold spells to mid-europe soon. The jet is not showing any good amplitude changes... We need smthg like this My regards from boring Germany
  14. What we need What we actualy have Right now, we can only pray to the god of snow...
  15. That is just the right answer to all persemistic posts here! Like "think big!"... the patterns this season are better then the last years, so we just need to chill a bit. A early start with cold and snow wasn't always that good TBH, it's like shooting all of his powder at once. Rember 2010, very good winter, but then total fail from January on... Regards from Germany
  16. Could be the FINAL MW which happens often @ the end of met. winter time
  17. That massive cold block over Arctic Siberia and the vanished Canada PV cold looks decent to me
  18. It's all down to EC now to make it a Straight Flush or just a simple pair
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