Sceptical

Yesterday's update from the Met - Standard fare for late November. Thursday 23 Nov - Saturday 2 Dec The early part of this period is likely to see a north-south split in weather conditions, with southern parts of the UK drier than of late with some sunny spells, while northern areas, particularly western Scotland, see more in the way of cloud, rain and wind. Within this overall pattern, there may well be incursions of colder air at times, especially across north and northeast UK, with wintry showers and overnight frost. It's uncertain just when such cold spells will occur and how extensive they will be, and it may be that this happens more than once with periods of milder, wetter weather in between. Towards the second weekend, it's most likely to become more generally changeable, with a lower chance of more settled conditions persisting across the south. Updated: 14:00 (UTC) on Sat 18 Nov 2023

Found this over on the Winter discussion thread. Matt Hugo shares his thoughts on how winter 23/24 might unfold. Something for everyone...

Trip up to Aviemore this morning, headed up to Cairngorm Mountain. Winter has definitely arrived there, 3c and driving rain at the carpark. Heavy snow at the summit.

I'm also Sceptical

Stunning morning. Ice blue sky, cold and dry.

Not much in the Met Office daily forecast that warrants sticking on the winters just yet. Mind you, theses daily forecasts have been hit or miss for a while.

A dry bright and cool start. I was planning on switching to winter tyres this weekend but the metoffice 10 day trend has put me off.

A nice dry cold start to the day.

Lightning fast on my mobile phone

Cold dry start

Chilly start tomorrow.

Dog walker films winds lifting forest floor in Scotland WWW.BBC.CO.UK David Nugent-Malone captures the ground "moving like sea" in Mugdock while walking his dog, Jake.

Daylights starting to crack and the hard surfaces around the house are much drier than last night. Wind has died down and it's dry. Dodged a bullet around here!

Internet and 4g data knocked out for a bit. The wind has definitely picked up while the rain has eased off. Bit brighter now than earlier on.

Fortunately Cairn William and the Pitfichie hills are taking the brunt of the weather. Feels like a get out of jail card

Steady rain with a bit of wind. Temperature 9c but feeling a good bit cooler. All good so far.

^^ Casually flipping through my book of "won't be into work today" excuses. Despite waving the Met Office warnings under some jobsworth nose, he assured me "we'll all be outside tomorrow " Aye right

Is the red warning not for Stonehaven down to Arbroath/Dundee? Still undecided on commuting tomorrow/Friday, a couple of days off work might be sensible.

Met office upgrades to Amber warnings for parts of Scotland ahead of Storm Babet.

0c again this morning. Started garaging the car overnight to avoid the ordeal of having to scrape ice.

Definitely a benefit of a mild winter.

A mild December and January. Where's the Prozac

Noticeably colder this morning, 2.5c on the car display at the house. Colder again on the approach to Westhill. The roads are bone dry so no issue with ice.

A very mild day at Ellon, car display showed 19c at 16.30. Currently 18c in the Vale of Alford with a fairly strong wind.

I'll go with my usual guess. Above average temperature for winter 23/24.