Drifter
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Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
Drifter replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That’s a couple of days away from mild south westerlies. Sorry to be Scrooge. Luckily it won’t pan out that way. -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
Drifter replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That would be fine, although I do prefer GFS at the same stage. -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
Drifter replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No. What are you on about? -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Drifter replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Historic blizzard territory there. -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Drifter replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep, frozen pants. -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Drifter replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It means you won’t be complaining about the uppers anymore. -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Drifter replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes also thanks to Kris from me too. Of course, I was just in the middle of writing something similar but deleted it when I saw yours*. *if you believe that, you’ll believe anything -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Drifter replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Why are people talking as if the 6z of all runs is set in stone? If you don’t like what it’s showing in FI, you’ve only got to wait another 6 hours. -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Drifter replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I wouldn’t worry - there’s no real consensus yet on what happens after the initial ridge. Models will continue to play around with solutions for the next couple of days. -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Drifter replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Drifter replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You are absolutely correct, no idea why he keeps calling this a polar low. It’s just a low coming down from the north. -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For a strat dunce like me, what am I looking for on that chart which means it is a technical SSW? TIA -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There’s a formula out there somewhere that explains this, but I can’t find it right now. Anyway, 500mb heights are one of the components and essentially the lower the heights, the lower the dam (lower dam = greater snow risk) -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I worry if the high doesn’t retrogress, the low may end up going south and splitting it, leaving us with a euro high. -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Bizarre that so many on here are feeling downbeat this morning. Remember last winter vs what is projected here? -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Even worse, he means Boxing Day 2021. -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Viagra run. -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well now we all know what will happen in the next couple of days. Remember, if it can go wrong, it will go wrong! -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Narrator: “It did not go on to be decent” -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Out to t198 the GFS appears to have the consistency of a baby’s nappy. It could still turn out ok - high pressure appears to be more prevalent to the north east on the 12z. -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’m waiting until WiB is on board. -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It’s actually quite impressive how the GFS manages to balls up the setup at the end from that promising position. Looking promising for now though. -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is it me or does ICON seem a bit more ‘blocky’ to the east than the other models? Not sure if we’d get our northerly/north westerly from that model if it progressed further, but may get something later down the line from the north east instead? -
Model Output Discussion - Colder spell ending, what's to follow?
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You called? We certainly seem to be in the raffle for a seasonal Christmas for a change. Let’s see what the atmosphere can concoct over the next few days to deny us.