DAVE_ALLEN
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How has it been for you today. Did you get much of an accumulation from the larger flakes this afternoon. We are around 0.5cm - 1cm now with a few piles of snow grains in places. The first signs on the radar now of a streamer setting up over the Thames Estary on the 7pm radar. looks like it will deliver for Hants and Surrey, moving out into the Channel over Poole Harbour, Id say.
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Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
NOw.. imagine if that dart board could become a channel low.. I wonder what the outcome would be -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Thats polystyrene you've sprinkled over that... -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
They've chucked so much grit in our street, its deeper than the snowgrains.. Grrrr. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Wind at City Airport has veered 50o Between NE and ENE any streamers will head more towards London, and Surrey and Kent away from the kent coast.. imo. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Theres a good couple of mm in the crack there. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
A couple of kids are out in the street playing in the salt that the gritter dumped in the road. Its a good couple of mm deep. In fact we've had more grit than snow grains. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
First little snow flurry has made it to Guilford area.. Its coming ! -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Screen Recording 2021-02-07 at 08.50.40.mov ....That said here is the latest snow radar on Met O site. If you speed it up you can see a steamer almost within the occluded front. Two things to note. A thick band of snow is heading into the coast of Suffolk in the next hour or so. Very light snow is moving towards London, from the North east, that can be tracked back to Norfolk. Speed up the playback and you'll see it. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Met Office sticking to its guns on Persistent Heavy snow and large accumulations. Looking at the radar in addition, It feels like those who have snow will be the ones who see even more snow today, to the West and North of this area an extensive dry cloud shield is in place. The cloud sheild should edge away by late Monday hopefully allowing a colder ENE feed in with the possibility, hopefully, of snow showers making it further west than todays snow. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
How are we looking Kold. IM over in Godalming about 10 miles towards the snow from you. Im thinking our best changes are 8am to Noon tomorrow ? -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Louise Lear said the same thing just now, however the Orange warning seems to have moved in land further in south Kent. -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Louise Lear on Beeb now.. Shes saying Snow is nailed on for Essex and Kent, and that it could extend west towards the London Area.. One would assume with a NEast wind some of it would blow South of London towards the Sussex's too. -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ive been saying on and off for a while now. This is what I think will happen. The Atlantic LP wont come in.. yet. and when it does it will be too late. I think the Scandi HP will move over the Faroes. the LP will weaken and pass far to our south. and merge with a LP extending SW from Siberia. And for now the Atlantic LP may well phase with the small LP within its circulation taking it no where.. -
MEtO have an almost exact match on their latest forecast just released. And you are quite right, this does not correlate with the fax charts. All of the precip out at sea will eventually move in a general WSW direction.
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Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Theres the smallest HP ridge there from Birmingham to S Ireland. If anywhere was to see less snow on Sunday I would imagine it would be here. And Essex and Kent by contrast would have a snow upgrade if this fax materialises as shown -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think he's talking grit and salt depths.. -
Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
DAVE_ALLEN replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Maybe its me... but that has mm, Kold.. Not cm ??