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Everything posted by Beanz
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They are an upgrade?! The colder weather came closer to 0hrs this morning than it was yesterday.
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well, this is model output not a weather menu -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A UK centred high can produce some quite cold and frosty weather, very much typical of winter - I think the models have been favouring that solution for a few days but for some unknown reason it’s been largely ignored. Sometimes I wish people would accept the model output for what it is, not trying to bend it towards something they want. After a period of cold, possibly a bit anticyclonic weather there is nothing to say things won’t move favourable from there. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There’s plenty of stuff in the reliable, just not the weather you want. Other than that, the models are still kicking out and that’s the reason we’re here -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Absolutely! Nothing more ridiculous than people posting 300hr precip and snow accum charts - and the same people still do it every year. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Possible yes, but not probable -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Jeeze, the model output bingo card is looking good this evening. “We need ECM to agree with UKMO” “it’ll be a halfway house” “Game over for another year” None of which are true… -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Never a better definition! Haha -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
No, and besides December is one of the 3 coldest months of the year, so it’s very much a winter month. Had half the amount of sunshine when compared to March - how else would define a winter month? -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Nonsense, winters are not defined by there being snow -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A 306h precip chart…useless -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking at the models…I’m not sure what trend is pointing to any extreme snow, more like seasonal and wintry for a few days, with the Atlantic still hanging about to provide some challenge. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I couldnt remember, but possibly -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There are trends, but the longer those time periods which you’re analysing the tends within extend, the less reliable or ‘probable’ they become. A wise man once said in a model output discussion: “The stronger the desire to see snow on the horizon, does not bring clouds to the sky, rather it brings clouds to one’s judgement of the models” -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think saying ‘probably’ for a 312hr chart is stretching it.. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nothing is EVER nailed on at that range, come on. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Everything always looks interesting when it’s 3 weeks away… -
Disagree with what? I got stuck overnight on the M11 - I had winter tyres on the car, it didn’t help me. Staying home or at work, would have helped me. A 4x4 with appropriate tyres, would have helped me. Winter tyres are great, but in a foot of snow your average saloon car will still get stuck, no matter what tyres it has on.
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
According to my MetO weather app, it will stop raining…mid Tuesday afternoon, for a few hours and will continue again until next weekend. *sigh* -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Oh there’s plenty of snow I can assure you. Not sure which ‘snow charts’ you refer to, but they were wrong. 2cm and counting…. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
If you say so. Noting that the BBC don't do their own forecasting, it’s provided by Meteo - they just broadcast the information they are given. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
You realise that the models are used by almost all forecasting agencies? What you describe is not a remarkable coincidence, it’s normal procedure. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I doubt it bothers anybody really, unless you were born before the 1950s in the U.K. Pretty much the entire world uses Celsius, so any international viewers watching the U.K. weather (can’t be many) are likely to be very familiar with Celsius being the international standard of temperature measurement. The US is the obvious deviation, but why should the rest of the world change to accommodate them?