-
Posts
817 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by Beanz
-
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Beanz replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Remember, not everybody judges how good a winter time model run is by the occurrence of synoptics that might deliver snow. Just because a model run is less favourable for a decent dumping of snow, it doesn't mean it's a downgrade for all folk. The models cater for all shapes and sizes Snow is great, I love it, but I would also be quite happy with a very cold, frosty, icy week of weather too. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Beanz replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I hate to say it, but you appear to be the one banging the drum with a clear bias for a particular type of weather this morning. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Beanz replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’m not sure about that, it’s definitely more likely to be rain. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Beanz replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Flooding..?? -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Beanz replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It’s a frustration many of us share. Just block the members that post junk, and focus on those who are posting more sensible content - it makes this board a LOT more useful, particularly at this time of year -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Beanz replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I agree with this, and it’s a level-headed approach to interpreting the MO. It’s fun watching people posting snow depth charts 5/6 days away, but we all know they’re pointless at that point. The models are certainly suggesting some chilly weather over the course of and later into next week, but any wintry showers will likely be wet and probably quite unremarkable, even in in this day and age -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Beanz replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That’s a very good point! -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Beanz replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’m not entirely convinced we’ll have anywhere near the depth of cold to overcome moderate uppers -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Beanz replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Highly unlikely. This is classic GFS climbdown to something which the others have realised is more likely. Looking forward to something nice and seasonal in the coming days though, what’s not to like! -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Beanz replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is only one model run flip by the ECM, beyond the reliable. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
If that happened to anybody, it would be me - like realising you washed a winning lottery ticket -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Beanz replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I used to believe this, but now I’m not so sure. If you follow a trend, eventually it will change and you’ll be stuck wearing the wrong t-shirt. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
March, April and May?…have I fallen asleep and missed Winter..? -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Beanz replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I would say that’s a decent trend for this time of year, I’ll happily take that -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Good job it’s just the CFS I suppose, otherwise I’d be concerned -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Shall we start a Winter 2024/25 thread now? *joking, I’m not a ‘winter is over’ kinda person -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Why? Are you forecasting that we will have more marginal events then? Warmer sea surface temps don’t automatically mean warm spells either do they? -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I’d go one further, a couple of cold spells with some snow on the ground won’t be the result of El-Nino. And a decent winter is often judged, here at least, by conditions and short spells of weather that are not always a general seasonal pattern. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I don’t suppose anybody will take it as gospel. Pattern matching is pretty useless. -
Ours went on for a bit today. I don’t feel so bad using it more willingly in this new house, all well insulated and energy efficient, so will be interesting to see how it compares in cost to our last place (300 year old drafty place with log burners and a 20 year old oil fired boiler) I do miss chopping logs though..
-
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Stop banging on about what Mushy said, it’s not the final word in what summer was or wasn’t to all people. Please. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I don’t disagree with that. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Thanks, I’m already aware of the difference. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
Beanz replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
You’re becoming quite repetitive. People can post their views as they see fit, and not everything must be backed up by statistics - this is a discussion forum, not a scientific thesis. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
Beanz replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not sure I understand why, that looks pretty strange for mid-Autumn to me…