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Beanz

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Everything posted by Beanz

  1. Remember, not everybody judges how good a winter time model run is by the occurrence of synoptics that might deliver snow. Just because a model run is less favourable for a decent dumping of snow, it doesn't mean it's a downgrade for all folk. The models cater for all shapes and sizes Snow is great, I love it, but I would also be quite happy with a very cold, frosty, icy week of weather too.
  2. I hate to say it, but you appear to be the one banging the drum with a clear bias for a particular type of weather this morning.
  3. I’m not sure about that, it’s definitely more likely to be rain.
  4. It’s a frustration many of us share. Just block the members that post junk, and focus on those who are posting more sensible content - it makes this board a LOT more useful, particularly at this time of year
  5. I agree with this, and it’s a level-headed approach to interpreting the MO. It’s fun watching people posting snow depth charts 5/6 days away, but we all know they’re pointless at that point. The models are certainly suggesting some chilly weather over the course of and later into next week, but any wintry showers will likely be wet and probably quite unremarkable, even in in this day and age
  6. I’m not entirely convinced we’ll have anywhere near the depth of cold to overcome moderate uppers
  7. Highly unlikely. This is classic GFS climbdown to something which the others have realised is more likely. Looking forward to something nice and seasonal in the coming days though, what’s not to like!
  8. This is only one model run flip by the ECM, beyond the reliable.
  9. If that happened to anybody, it would be me - like realising you washed a winning lottery ticket
  10. I used to believe this, but now I’m not so sure. If you follow a trend, eventually it will change and you’ll be stuck wearing the wrong t-shirt.
  11. I would say that’s a decent trend for this time of year, I’ll happily take that
  12. Shall we start a Winter 2024/25 thread now? *joking, I’m not a ‘winter is over’ kinda person
  13. Why? Are you forecasting that we will have more marginal events then? Warmer sea surface temps don’t automatically mean warm spells either do they?
  14. I’d go one further, a couple of cold spells with some snow on the ground won’t be the result of El-Nino. And a decent winter is often judged, here at least, by conditions and short spells of weather that are not always a general seasonal pattern.
  15. I don’t suppose anybody will take it as gospel. Pattern matching is pretty useless.
  16. Ours went on for a bit today. I don’t feel so bad using it more willingly in this new house, all well insulated and energy efficient, so will be interesting to see how it compares in cost to our last place (300 year old drafty place with log burners and a 20 year old oil fired boiler) I do miss chopping logs though..
  17. Stop banging on about what Mushy said, it’s not the final word in what summer was or wasn’t to all people. Please.
  18. You’re becoming quite repetitive. People can post their views as they see fit, and not everything must be backed up by statistics - this is a discussion forum, not a scientific thesis.
  19. Not sure I understand why, that looks pretty strange for mid-Autumn to me…
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