East Herts Snow

Excellent post and explains exactly what happened last night, the hilly areas received the highest snowfalls, as the PPN drifted across, uplifting occurred and quickly intensified the snowfall.

Still beat you just...Lol. Must admit that is amazing snowfall for coastal area Leigh-on-Sea.

Superb night for persistant heavy snow (at times blizzard conditions). Between 15cm and 20cm in Buntingford, East Hertfordshire.

Amazing night for snow last night here in Buntingford, East Hertfordshire. Must be about 8 inches of snow, a couple of pictures below

TEITS, total respect to you mate, I remember you (and a few other members) stating something like this could happen about three weeks ago. One of the best posters on here and I have learnt a lot from you. Cheers! NB - Must be about 15cm here now, although its very rural and high up here, so always a big bonus.

Not far behind here in East Herts, snowfall is amazing and must be approaching 15cm.

Looks like I won't be using my bike tomorrow.....

A quick update from Buntingford, East Hertfordshire.... Still snowing heavy and over 10cm of snow already fallen.

Probably down to the warm sector moving away to the SE, colder upper temperatures will be digging in.

Just started snowing moderately here in Buntingford, East Herts and settling straight away. Stopped now, but shows that the showers may push well inland today.

Where's Steve Murr....you could be right in the firing line of the undercutting low at +144? If this run really were to verify, whoever stays on the colder North side of the Channel Low between +144 to +168 could experience some serious snowfall........, but run has to be an outlier, as the low is way too intense.

Currently snowing lightly here in Buntingford, East Herts. First snowflakes for this winter.

Its saying that the chart has updated on the website, but that is definately the 0hr run chart still though!

ECM at +144hrs.... http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=144&mode=1&map=0 Low slips South, not quite sure on this run yet.

...and GEM at the same timescale (+144) has a different outcome and looks a real Jem! http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?&ech=144&mode=0 and JMA at the same timescale (although a lesser model) http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/jma.php?ech=144&mode=1 Basically its too far into the future to know will happen. However I think ECM tonight maybe a crucial run. ECM charts roll out between 6pm and 7pm.

Just the one UKMO chart at +144hrs that may cause a breakdown, but the low could easily go further South and increase the likely hood of snow. Anyways its in FI (Fantasy Island) and probably change several times again in future chart runs.

If anyone deserves the snow, its you kold weather! Definately one of the best posters on here and always provides detailed and well balanced analysis of the charts, but geographically your not in one of the favoured snow 'hot' spots (great oxymoron!). Unless the fabled channel low forms of course.......!

A good prediction there Iceberg, and agree with you re: tomorrows snow chance. I feel the area affected maybe a bit larger and affecting more areas SE, due to uplifting when the ppn hits hillier areas in Buckinghamshire, Bedfordshire and possibly Hertfordshire (The Chilterns and East Anglian Heights). Altitude as ever will always help with these areas rising between 100m to 250m ASL. Update - Sorry kold Weather has already stated this.

I find the following site very useful with predicting where ppn is falling and direction it is moving (using the pressure chart and wind direction can give you a basic idea). Also shows the current air temperature and especially important the dew points. For snow to fall, air temperature should not be higher than 2°C and the dew point has to be at least zero. NB - In the UK, the heaviest falls of snow tend to occur when the air temperature is between zero and 2°C. XCWeather

Nick, to be fair the ECM is still overall the best performing model. Every one of the major models have now had a wobble, but have quickly reverted back to cold synoptics. The only concern is that this is the first of the major models to wobble in the 'almost' reliable timeframe. This is the time when meteorologists really get to earn their corn and my respect if they can accurately predict complicated and potentially very cold set-ups.

Hope so, although even more so in hilly rural East Herts. Although to be fair, I agree with what you have been saying that its still a long way to go and can still go horribly wrong. I just want to have winters like we had back in the 1970's and 1980's :lol: . I keep telling my sons about how cold they were and almost guaranteed snow each year, even in 'warmish North London'. The lying snow would also last for over a week. Strangely last year was the snowiest winter I can remember (apart from the 1991 snow storm).

╔═══╗ ♪ * Please let it snow * ║███║ ♫ * *Let it snow * * ║ (●) ♫ * * *Let it snow * * * ╚═══╝♪♪ :lol:

If this run really does happen, very cold upper NE/E winds across an above normal warm North Sea........ .....equals one huge snow machine.

The last significant cold spell for Southern Britain in particular, was in January 1987, bringing probably the coldest temperatures since 1740.

Yamkin, its absolutely incredible here in Buntingford, North East Herts (twenty miles North of Enfield, North London). It has been snowing heavily now for 4 hours and we already have about 4 inches of lying snow.