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jamesgold

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Everything posted by jamesgold

  1. Update from MOD thread, ECM is looking good eventually bringing easterlies down to our region. Run isn’t over yet but at that relatively short timeframe I’d say that’s been the best model convergence so far, even if they take slightly different routes to get there
  2. They certainly don’t look terrible at all, the chance is still there for a freeze up down here and it only takes slight shifts in positioning to make or break. Granted I’d feel safer in Durham than London for this, but it’s certainly not terrible, models are still working it out
  3. Incredible GFS tonight, I’m very nervous about heading back into the MOD thread for the 0zs when they inevitably downgrade. It can’t get better than that 18z
  4. 12z UKMO was a slight downgrade on what it was showing this morning, but that’s expected, it’s just gone from 10/10 to 8/10 so if that turned up this morning instead, we’d be bouncing off the walls
  5. 12z runs starting to come out, ICON keeps us in the game I think, let’s see what the others say
  6. Word from MOD thread that 6z is a bit of a synoptic difference to its mean, which is better for us. So it’s all to play for, I just expect things to move around for a few days. When it’s based on the position of a low, we see how at such short notice those can change anyway
  7. GFS 6z is not as good for our snow potential in the South. MOD thread is going to be tense today
  8. That will be based on ECM, very unsupported at this point. MetO long ranger and many other models won’t agree with that
  9. Snow flurry again in Bromley, nothing settling now - wet and mostly slushy on the ground
  10. Weakening now, think that may be pretty much it for South East of London
  11. In South East London I’m pinning my hopes on something out of East Essex, something pumped in from the North Sea etc. I won’t be in that big area but still think we could get lucky somehow
  12. I mean, at least we know there’s still a long way to go in hi-res modelling... How much fun would this be if we all knew exactly where snow would fall?
  13. MetO app gives me snow in SE London from 10pm, hopefully some of this band can stay intact as it falls away SE.
  14. Still giving it a really good go in Bromley, unfortunately looks like it’s going to pass soon... IMG_3261.MOV
  15. Within 2 minutes I’ve beaten my accumulation record for this season
  16. And the first flakes arrive in Bromley... Hoping it doesn’t pivot back away from me...
  17. It’s got very dark in Bromley.... I’m seeing reports from Shirley, Croydon, surely it’s got to come here...
  18. Nice and sunny in Bromley Ground still frozen solid. This is really getting agonisingly slow, maybe London in it for longer?
  19. Could the stall be less horizontal than expected, or is the bottom of this really going to just swing through south london
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