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Eagle Eye
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Posts posted by Eagle Eye
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Frustrating about my main one earlier today however there was at least some in the SE for the slight and if thst storm in the channel had reached it would have warranted it. However, the area of interest for lightning going further west from the slight worked and got a lot of the strikes in I think. There has been lots of convection in the SE, just something stopping much lightning.
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Loud noises are now counted as rumbles for me even if it's quite unlikely that they actually are
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Thunderspotter Rain versus non rain muffled.
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As soon as the occlusion actually hit the coast. All I'm saying is that maybe just maybe there's 1 or a couple more shows to be had.
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All turned into heavy showers that just aren't producing the lightning.
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Warm air into the cell that's just passed. Hopefully skies keep clear as might timelapse.
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Building showers around here @Thunders
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Developments of storms moving further east slowly. Hopefully anyway.
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Potential cycling on the mid channel cell, next to the storms losing energy, there's a mass of rain getting stronger. Hopefully that keeps going.
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I have that feeling that Kent is going to be cut off here, our main hope is losing strength and I'm not sure if we'll get those pre-frontal storm beyond that channel stuff.
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Azazel Nothing really, if anything it's a supposedly very weak environment for shear.
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Thunders Too low to be accas probably.
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Thunders two individual cells developing. Look to be weakening but often these events pulse from high to low in terms of lightning strikes.
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No real hail potential that I can see. Weak shearing so maybe but can't see it personally.
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A lot of this stuff appears to be getting stronger in the channel likely meaning it's now elevated.
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Still can't see the cells that are supposed to be to my SE and moving roughly towards me. Might be blocked but nothing standing out and the stuff to my east looks to be too far north to be those.
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I'm not sure there's a boundary as such but surface are lower down storms and elevated are a clear gap between the surface and the storm to the point where the sea temperatures won't affect the elevated storms much if at all. Sometimes we like elevated and for more severe potential storms and heavier rain, surface based are better. Sometimes you can tell with rain but if there's so much moisture in the atmosphere then even elevated cells can create downpours.
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Buoyancy is strong, just needed that kick from somewhere and it's got it. Technically a sort of cap in place because of the surface erosion, potentially eroding now. Surface based? Or are they elevated, have to see.
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Lightning to my south but the stuff to my east is currently more visible.
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Towers building nicely.
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Mine happened to be charged last week so avoided the curse that we pretend happens. Got that hazy nature and towers are developing in a small line. Usually good signs.
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Towers to my SE, energy is slowly building.
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Stormhog think you @'d the wrong person but yeah there's many ways to do lightning photography. That's why it's an art, I couldn't get your photos and I suspect you wouldn't get my very low exposure low Iso zoom in photos of CG' s that I do about once a year then decide not to do the rest of the year for no reason exactly the same as I would.
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Suspect that won't just be it, should be more forming ahead. However, if they don't, it's one of the shorter distances storms tend to travel across the channel for us.
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Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Convective Outlook
️
800+ J/KG of SBCAPE will form on Monday afternoon with trough forced showers and storms widespread during the afternoon. Potentially frequent lightning may occur in a couple cells. At peak heating times, buoyancy could be fairly strong and force a few cell clusters and storms capable of frequent lightning and maybe flash flooding. This will occur across England and maybe more often in areas of deeper shear where cells can keep themselves up for longer instead of collapsing in on themselves quickly. Then in the channel throughout the day and the evening, there's likely showers that'll mostly be confined to western and central parts of the channel that may hit the coast and push further in on some unstable PV lobes that push north. Then throughout the day the channel showers push further east, lingering in the west till the evening but extending east mid to late afternoon perhaps turning into more stable rain in the SW as night falls but still strong further east. These also risk lightning strikes throughout the channel and the coast all throughout. The main risk has fairly good lapse rates and enough energy and weak enough low-level shear to have the potential of near severe hail in the midlands especially. However, flash flooding is the main severe risk. That's likely where the best combination of energy and potential for longer lived storms are as well.