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Everything posted by Polaris
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The public must be wondering what a ‘cold weather Alert’ actually means? According to BBC a few days of chill then ‘Quote’ Helen Willets latest TV forecast “Temps eventually recovering later next week” So that’s 2 days tomorrow and Monday of temps of 4-6c then near on double figures approaching later next week. Other countries must laugh at us
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Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Polaris replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I’ve also heard from a reliable source that this time tomorrow, there is a very high chance that the Day 10 chart will return -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Polaris replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'll be sure to moan, ramp and chat about those awful raindrops that landed on me today instead. Its a weather forum with 100% human being comments, not the raindrop that fell on my garden. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Polaris replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Same here, As long as LA LA Land charts give folk posts to quote in comparison to 63, 2010 have know chance to reason with them. Yet the cry and toys will happen 80% of the time. Quite ironic really. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Polaris replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Tomorrow waking up will be another depressing MAD thread with folk wondering why the signal for a 63, 2010 has a disappeared even though it was A DAY 13 CHART Never ending cycle... -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Polaris replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Still after a many year reading a viewing the MAD thread I still cant believe the OTT - 1963 repeat / 2010 type posts at a D13 chart when only 10 hours earlier showed nothing of the sort. Its our hobby I get it, but its also equally comical. Its like a complete blind mask is on to ramp, only to fall off a couple days later and a big old cry from the very members that truly believed a D13 chart would verify. The excitement for a chart on 15th January is just bizzare to me on 3rd January. Is it really the weather thats a hobby or a never ending chase? Of course anythings possible but come on... for anything remotely to get excited about has to happen within Day5 -
Thats a brave call at 13 days, We've had convincing background signals at a shorter timeframe along with stonking ensembles lots of times before in winters. You only have to look at this thread early this morning to realise how flips happen. But history tells us that the 'not cold' or 'not so cold' flip usually wins. As you say anything serious HAS TO COME INTO the 5 day (120hr)
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Remember the 12s gave us this on 28th Nov at D13 As we all know… never happened. If the latest 12s showing at T96 then I’ll get my sledge ready!
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Polaris replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ey? This was a D11 chart from GFS away from Christmas EVE Im confident that away from Scotland did not see ‘bang on’ northerly winds!! the South Recorded near on 14c 13c in Northern Ireland -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Polaris replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Whilst a 16 day mean chart may seem insane. So does a D10 model run chase that we’ve been in since beginning of December. Rewind 14 days from now and we were in a Christmas blizzard. Reality was one of the mildest Christmas’s on record. Away from the highlands and northern Scotland (groundbreaking that) I’d go with John’s chart as is a higher probability! -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Polaris replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Amen, Absolutely nothing Wintry on the horizon apart from a D10 chart. UK remains the mildest in Northern Europe whilst 200 miles east has already had 2 snow events in the past 4 weeks. Despite the MAD thread few posters promising another 63' or 70 blah blah blah - Deju vu anyone?????? Cringe...... -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Polaris replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
One of my biggest weather ick’s in the summer months. Folk scream and cry that we are the new Sahara after 10 days of no rain. Makes me cringe every year. It’s like the the soaking wet flooding autumn/ winters of the U.K. are vanished from memory. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Polaris replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
This cold dry spell would have been a fart in the wind in the 80s/90s Cue social media and media hype, not forgetting calling out a 50mph wind gust as a storm then giving it a name… -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
Polaris replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Ah the good ole days. Agree, this cool spell would have been a fart in the wind in the 80s/90s Then social media and technology took over and we are now naming 50mph wind gusts calling it a storm. -
A real shame that the LP forecast on Thursday is now heading into central France. Snow chance bounces back to zero as always. Hopefully Kent can get a scrape but even that is hoping Can’t get my head around how folk in our vicinity are happy in the MAD thread that the LP that could have brought our region some white ppn is going south into France. Unless an unexpected disturbance/trough pulls through it is bone dry and cold. At least a respite from the deluge of past weeks.
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Beautiful day. Looks as though Wednesday (storm Agnes) will be pretty decent across our region bar pretty breezy. Oh to go back to the good old days when a low pressure system was just a wet and windy day. Walked home from school in 70mph steady winds with no named hyped media ‘Storm’ name America must laugh at us