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Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
Polaris replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cambridgeshire, Lincolnshire possibly into Bedfordshire as it stands reaching 40c Yorkshire to far north to take the benefits of the London UHI -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
Polaris replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking at July 2019 charts vs real-time charts. Bedfordshire, Cambridgeshire could actually make 40c Monday And Tuesday. July 2019 also had v.high temps forecast from North London up to Lincolnshire/Yorkshire . Seems a repeat. Boiling hot air from France wafting over London’s UHI = then Cambridgeshire coming out with a new record temperature for the U.K. -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
Polaris replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’ve been in Southern Spain (Andalusia) for 2 weeks at 39c heat. With not a cloud in the sky. Highly doubt Mon/Tues will come without cloud. U.K. loves cloud cover & will do its best to overcome temperature extremes by high/partly/heavy cloud cover. -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
Polaris replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A very on point post. This is the U.K.- tonnes of cloud associated with summer days. Need to go to the Med for clear blue skies. -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
Polaris replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cambridgeshire … 2019 vs 2022? Northern Home Counties (Herts, Beds, Bucks, Cambs) in the running. -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
Polaris replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Trigger chart for the heat warning I’d imagine -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
Polaris replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Will the 12’s pair up to the 06z model and yesterday’s charts, keep a real possibility of 38.7c being beaten? Meto amber extreme heat warning that has just been issued along with the continued media play out to the general public of potential record breaking heat is an eyebrow raiser for sure. -
Countryfile forecast from Nick: “high Pressure building back in for Thursday” Friday - “temperatures could be heading up again” Weekend “Temperatures could be in the form of extreme heat” “there is concern that 38.7c maxima is under threat, although a lot of things have to come together for that to happen, but just putting it out there there could be extreme heat for southern areas next weekend” Nick Miller**
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Beautiful summers day today. Tomorrow looking good. Lots of cloud Forecast for Tuesday so despite BBC forecasting 32c I highly doubt it. I have never experienced 32c in this country without strong sunshine. Mid to high (Ish) twenties rest of week with a possibility of a warm up again by next weekend. Drink water, put on a fan and you’ll be fine.
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Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
Polaris replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
7 days away. 8 days ago it had temps hitting 37-38c in the SE for tomorrow. Reality = 31-32c forecast for tomorrow.