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Everything posted by Polaris
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Hi lassie, Ive chosen not to visit that forum for a few days. This is a very cold dry spell with maybe the odd disturbance for a lucky few towards coasts. Nothing “snowy” in the reliable but the “10 day chart” posts in the MAD thread get nauseating after a while. Take 9 days ago, posts with apparently the SE to be buried today, it was clear crystal blue skys!!! Vicious circle.
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New met office 10 day tend. Brilliant explanation from Alex. Regarding any snow next week here are the met office thoughts: Less likely, most likely! history tells us these scenarios bring it into France, which Alex mentioned. After viewing charts many years I have to agree. Just look at 2013 when the Channel Islands / northern France were plummeted. hopefully if the ppn from a channel low doesn’t happen then we can pull in from some conductive Easterly’s
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Polaris replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Astonishing people calling the snow line boundary the Midlands 6 days away. 90% of the time the closer we get the further track/corrections south of any LP slide. Could be Northern France that sees frontal snow. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Polaris replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Haha, yes you’re right Snowy. was Jan 2010 Hands up I skipped 3 seasons. Need to slow on the evening -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Polaris replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Need to stop this 2010 redux on a + D10 chart It is not… Absolutely nothing like the depth of cold we experienced in 2010. Posted before but I’ll post again. On this day in 2010 with heavy frequent snow. None of the models bring this kind of depth into the reliable: -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Polaris replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hope so mate. Just feeling a little underwhelmed- whilst the NHF is eye watering, none of the major models bring 850s for snow away from mountains in the reliable. Just hoping it’s a slow burner. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Polaris replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Polaris replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I should think so considering they are above the clouds. -
Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks
Polaris replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Temps too high over weekend early next wk with snow chance on mountains. Northerly flow later next week (useless here) Much prefer an easterly Better than the Atlantic crud for sure. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Polaris replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not true, go back over the last 20 pages and there are plentiful. Likewise the more knowledgable members giving a more realistic stance on things. Whichever is being said… 2010 it isn’t. 2018 imo either. -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Polaris replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
On this Day 12 years ago. Freezing cold with heavy snow showers. This forecasted easterly is a wimp compared. We struggle to get -10 850s even out of reliable days 8-12. Could be a slow burner but anyone comparing or calling it a 2010 redux/esque is brave: -
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
Polaris replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nice. 13 days away Imagine if that were T48 -
Autumn 2022 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Polaris replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Was always highly likely that the rain would balance out. Always does Hey presto… here we are in November with soaking rains past 6 weeks. This is why I never understood folk moaning and whinging that it hasn’t rained for 3 weeks in the height of summer. -
Autumn 2022 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Polaris replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Everything is Day 10 since I joined this forum in 2019 Reality = Wet and Atlantic +7 Days. -
Autumn 2022 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Polaris replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Absolutely no chance of a RAMP after watching that. Reliable/ reality is still Soaking Wet and Atlantic dominated.