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Battleground Snow

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Everything posted by Battleground Snow

  1. Battleground Snow
    Haha, I'll take the 2cm in Coventry too. None for @sheikhy
  2. Battleground Snow
    Ecm more gem than GFS at 168, will we see the Greenland high or will it be a near miss?
  3. Battleground Snow
    @Tim Bland sorry Still chopping and changing run to run even at this range.
  4. Battleground Snow
    Sorry, I meant the warming that's due to take place shortly is weakening the usual dominant westerly flow at this time of year, allowing for increased blocking, I understand it won't go easterly for a while yet
  5. Battleground Snow
    Mike, do you think the ECM and parallel are seeing the easterlies flushing down the trop faster than the regular GFS, thus creating the blocking at higher latitudes?
  6. Battleground Snow
    Very snowy parallel too
  7. Battleground Snow
    Wasn't going to post today, but the weather patterns are too intriguing to stay away at the moment! Gem and ukmo are handling the energy differently to the GFS around 168 near new foundland, gem goes for a Greenland high and I think the Ukmo would go on to show that too, If the ECM shows this too later, it will be ECM, gem, and ukmo v GFS. The GFS seemed to come out on top last time, will it this time too?
  8. Battleground Snow
    Amazing ecm at 240, Have a good Xmas all. Thanks for all the great contributions, will be back on boxing Day. Time for die hard and some beer, will have a quick glance at the 18z runs of course
  9. Battleground Snow
    Icon at 180 is heading in the right direction for coldies I think, decent ridge heading up to griceland
  10. Battleground Snow
    Best chart of the winter for me so far
  11. Battleground Snow
    Control has the high in almost the perfect place, wish those Iberia heights would go away though,
  12. Battleground Snow
    With a mean like this in the New year, you'd be very surprised for high pressure to be over the UK, the clusters have been questioned by a few on twitter at times this year. Eg Matt Hugo, however it is still a way out so we will see how it pans out.
  13. Battleground Snow
    Really great mean at 240, obviously these highs have failed to materialise in recent years, but with the lack of energy over the states and the Russia high firmly in place you would hope it has a really good chance of verifying - hoping @Daniel* can show us the extended too.
  14. Battleground Snow
    Control further east than the op around 200 hours, historically these highs adjust east nearer the time, but with the Russia high so strong and robust it's hard to predict that this time around. Could be some nervous watching over the coming days!
  15. Battleground Snow
    Nice gem at 240, again a little bit too west with the Greenland block though
  16. Battleground Snow
    Being super critical... You would want the high a little bit further east, but fantastic none the less, plenty of time for that!
  17. Battleground Snow
    Could be a great FI coming here, Greenland ridge may form a little south and east compared to 06z run and force the jet further south.
  18. Battleground Snow
    I don't know about other members, but I'd take a couple of snowy weeks in early January, rather than hope the potential SSW cards fall right for us later down the line. Might be making this up but, I think I seen Simon lee say SSW events only give us a 66% chance of a colder outlook in the UK?. -15 uppers are great, but does it really matter if we get decent snow events with the jet tracking south? Appreciate it probably depends on where you live in the UK
  19. Battleground Snow
    Don't respond to the obvious post guys What a mean for 240!
  20. Battleground Snow
    Looks like another stab at griceland here, fantastic model watching to appease the lockdown bordem
  21. Battleground Snow
    A little adjustment south east of the deep trough at 120 v the 00z on the icon, helps a little with colder air circulation
  22. Battleground Snow
    Have you not been impressed by the consistency of the GFS recently? I agree it does usually chop and change like the wind, but it doesn't seem to be dropping renewed attempts to establish a high in the griceland area
  23. Battleground Snow
    Finally @Scott Ingham
  24. Battleground Snow
    A question for anyone who would like to answer? Do the models underplay cold developing in situ? Scandi area on this run seems to have just got colder for no reason, can the same happen over the UK?
  25. Battleground Snow
    Need the russian high to get lost, it's edging west more on this GFS run compared to the last, need to reverse this trend for better cold prospects in the medium term.
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