MJB
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
@johncam let's be honest the EC46 are hopeless. The whole of January and February were looking good for cold at one time. I wouldn't disagree, EC46 was dreadful last year and like a lost puppy I followed it up the garden path....................guess what I have done the same thing this Winter -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Horrific output with little sign of anything backing EC 46 -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
@Kasim Awan The risk of substantial cold is now very low. Looking at the models there is nothing to support substantial cold. Which period are you talking about Kasim? -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
@Dennis You carry on Dennis, I like seeing your posts -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Picked some of the ENS, not to show longevity in any cold snap/spell, there isn't one but we have some shots at cold going forward, get into next week and we should see some change.................hopefully -
Model Output Discussion - Cold spell ending - what next?
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Cold spell ending - what next?
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
My colleagues in Scandi have said the snowstorms they had last week were terrific and the cold amazing -
Model Output Discussion - Cold spell ending - what next?
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS smashes up the PV, this is a good trend we are seeing. Feb 4th, so much potential from here going forward. Yes yes yes yes it's deepest FI but worth keeping an eye on- 592 replies
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Model Output Discussion - Cold spell ending - what next?
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Cold spell ending - what next?
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Takes us to May mate..................that really is a Winter is over post lol- 592 replies
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Model Output Discussion - Cold spell ending - what next?
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Cold spell ending - what next?
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Cold spell ending - what next?
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
PV absolutely hammered at the end of the GFS 6z...........promising signs . Yes it's as far out as one could go, but lets see if it's a trend -
Model Output Discussion - Cold spell ending - what next?
MJB replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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I hope that isn't the end from Tamara for this season, extreme expertise and knowledge are welcome, along with Cat, Met, Blue and others ...............and of course you Scotty Boy Weather in the UK is a nightmare and if you met it in a pub you'd give it a bloody good hiding lol Our time for an extreme Winter will come I am sure....................................still plenty of time yet.
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And that is exactly what it is a standard spell of Winter weather, I can't help thinking if us on here have over hyped it, the MET never really got carried away and only ever mentioned a low chance of widespread snow. But at least we have Feb and March and both of those can deliver severe weather...................when was our last severe Jan hmmmmmmmmmmmmm