Gizzy

Don't blame you one bit.

What is these trends that posters keep mentioning to keep an eye on 10 days - blizzards, 2ft of drifting snow 8 days - snow showers 6 days - risk of ice on untreated surfaces 4 days - sleet 2 days - rain Today - next chase please.

I fully agree. I must say I go in the mod threads and pick up little pieces, take much of it as a pinch of salt but regardless of what is said/ suggested / forecast in the thread I always find my way back to the good old met office outlook and whilst they can, and still do, get things wrong it's probably the best option available. Oh and PS, the met office outlook is still very promising for our region, early northerly with a North easterly still being touted, albeit a dry one, but yet we all know a north easterly can get some disturbances within it and we are bang in line. To be honest it is just good to have some interest with still a good chunk of winter still to come.

Morning NES, for me there is still so much to be decided and it will be the weekend before we have some kind of 50/50 balance on how it may turn out. Certainly this cold has been watered down over the past week or so but for us I do believe we will see some heavy snow showers by early next week, after that it will depend how far north that front gets. After reading the mod thread and the absolute southern bias in there I hope it chucks down with rain for them, let it stall over them for days whilst we keep the cold in place ( I say that tongue in cheek as them areas certainly don't want more rain).

Totally agree, we always do better with NE or E and, as you mention, the white gold looks like it might very soon be within reach.

Long time lurker on here, with the odd Post thrown in, but I always like your posts Matt, always seem sensible, balanced and on point. I know nothing about models so it's good to hear from the sad person as we chase and chase the white gold, keep it up mate.

Moans and Ramps ??

You missed out BOOM

The met office outlook is certainly an upgrade. Love the ebb and flow in here but always go back to the professionals for that assurance, the fact they now seem well onside makes these forums all the more exciting ( though, sometimes laughable, sorry ! )

The mod thread is on fire, it does make me laugh sometimes. But all the indications are there for a very interesting period incoming, I will hold my view until mid next week by which time we should all know. If what is there now does come off then bring it on.

Yep, give it midweek and this place will be bouncing with potential. Meto know the score.

I agree, it is exciting to read but the reality is often way off. Its even worse if your like me, when you get excited with it all and tell the family there is a mighty freezing spell on its way with copious amounts of snow and we end up with a thirteen degree westerly haha.

Thanks Blessed.

Yes I would be interested to know what model the met/bbc use as, though they do sometimes get it wrong, more often than not they get it right and that is both short and longer term. Long time lurker in here and although this is a good place for the hints at longer term signals, bizarrely, it seems the closer it gets the more it goes wrong in here. I do tend to pick up bits in here but always revert to the met longer term for confirmation.

All of a sudden there is interest for the Christmas period, latest indicating the very real chance of a white Christmas ( in the official sense, a snowflake ). Early days, looking like a short spell but interest for 25/26/27th.

Oh so you have had some time in Guisborough, you know the frustrations then. I always remember I used to live down on the coast and when I moved to Guisborough I thought that I would see much more snow ( always seemed to be the case when I lived on the coast ) but hasn't really worked out that way though 2009/10/18 were interesting at times. I remember Feb 2018 well, starting a new job and having to drive to Durham for induction in thick snow, arrived and I was the only one there, even the local inductor hadn't made it, that was fun !! Anyway, yes I agree, it certainly seems much different these days but let's hope we get to see a little something over the season.

Beautiful Chris. What's your thoughts over the Christmas period, the threat is there for the potential of a cold spell or two, not quite sure much will come from it but interesting just the same.

Sure everything weather related is could, at least I think it could be.

Country file update - signs that we will be turning colder in the run up to Christmas. Sorry not model related but then again is related in terms of longer term pattern.

Just warming up on the starting line for another chase. Dec 23rd showing sleet on the beeb site, always nice to see the first hints of something colder around the corner.

Totally agree, out with the dog about an hour ago and it was biting cold, white frost already. By all accounts cloud is going to build and temperature rising but this cold period has really clung on despite losing the snow.

Why oh why does it never happen like this when it comes to snow.

Well the bookies aren't rich by giving things away and the odds for Northern cities, Edinburgh, Newcastle etc are pretty stingy at the moment. I think there is a good chance after a couple of weeks of less cold weather we could see something wintry around Christmas time, nothing scientific in my thinking by the way, just a general gut feeling.

As the saying goes better to have loved and lost rather than not loved at all. Just replace a few words haha. Great pics, next chase soon I hope.

Mate I drove to Tees barrage this morning, wow, you got a real good covering, much more than we have accumulated over the past four days, looked amazing, like driving into a Christmas film.