snowray
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Posts posted by snowray
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I have mentioned before that I have a friend from Romney Marsh who follows all this, particularly the behaviour of birds, geese in particular and even swans. Sometimes they get it right but are usually wrong particularly when it comes to cold weather and snowfall, interesting none the less.
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1 hour ago, Stationary Front said:
October is a difficult month to predict as there is usually residual heat available to the South, or south west, whereas the air to the north is starting to cool rapidly through the month, obviously it depends on which becomes dominant over the 31 days. I think the warmer air will dominate more than the cooler option. So going for 12.4 with 88mm
Yes things could turn colder very quickly, I always remember the snowfall in the home counties, including parts of north London a few years back, quite unexpected, most late Octobers have been quite mild over all in recent times.
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2 hours ago, snowray said:
12.7c and 82mm please.
Sorry Roger, can change to 99mm please. Keep temp the same but I'm thinking possibly early frosts now, cant decide on cold second half or wet, thinking more likely mild and wet though.
Thanks
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12.7c and 82mm please.
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1 hour ago, damianslaw said:
Still touch and go whether we beat the record for September and also June.. I suspect we will just come under but it will be a close call.
Yes I think it will be close, does not look that cold for the rest of the month so we should not see many more 0.2c drops, more likely some 0.1c days and/or no change maybe.
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1 hour ago, reef said:
I'm not too surprised. The heat has been there to the south all summer, its just the synoptics didn't allow it to be blown up this way. Odds were always that it would reach us at some point.
It just show how potent it was when we're hitting temperatures like this in almost mid-September.
That's why I went so high in August's competition, thought a late August heatwave was very possible, never expected this in September, came from nowhere really with the models compared to the August forecast warm ups all coming to nothing. If only it had turned up a week earlier.
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Could we see a record breaking September to make up for the crappy July and August I wonder? Blinking typical I'm heading away to the Med on the 6th, booked up just before the decent looking charts turned up, and also having taken the advice of a friend from Romney Marsh, a sort of Augur from them parts who insisted that there was no chance of an Indian Summer this year due to the behaviour of swans/birds on the river Sewer. More fool me!
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22 hours ago, snowray said:
14.4c and 62mm please.
Can I go up to 15.9c please, looking dry too but might turn wet 2nd half so will keep the rainfall as 62mm.
Thanks Roger
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14.4c and 62mm please.
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20 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:
K2 helps with clotting, it's given to all babies when first born. In injection form. Not sure it's needed unless you have a deficiency.
That might be K1?
I take vit D3 along with Vit K2 MK7, along with acerola vit C and magnesium. A nutritionist recommended this combination to me, also its important to find quality vitamins without fillers, etc, there is a lot of rubbish on the market.
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2 minutes ago, SollyOlly said:
Yes, it's unusual, isn't it. It seems to happen all the time in winter when cold is on the horizon, but when warmth or heat is modelled it usually verifies. Until this year, it seems?!
Your quite right we are used to this in winter of course, charts being consistently wrong even with full agreement at T120-T144 is very annoying.
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I'm still living in the hope that we might get a late summer's heatwave and an Indian summer into early September.
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17.8c and 72mm please.
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On 27/06/2023 at 10:41, snowray said:
16.6c and 89mm please.
Can I change please, looking slightly milder and less wet, so going for the double, 17c, same as June and 79mm.
Thanks
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16.6c and 89mm please.
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There's going to be four more days of rises I would think, including yesterday so I expect 17.1c by the time Sunday has been added on. Next week will probably be too late to do much damage so am expecting 17/17.1c as the final figure.
Thought I was pushing it with my 16c, turned out a whole 1c too low, incredible.
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Hopefully that cold wind has gone for now, managed to avoid the North Sea cloud here, feeling pretty warm in the sun but after about 7pm or earlier some days, freezing!
Are we due any of these storms over the weekend on the SE coast I wonder?
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On 20/05/2023 at 13:34, snowray said:
16c and 65mm please.
I don't normally change, but just noticed close to zero PPn in the 1st 10 days, still thinking it will be more unsettled later in the month though.
So can I keep the 16c please, but change to 46mm rainfall.
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When will this damned easterly wind ease off, really fed up with it this year!
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Stronger E/NEly winds developing as the HP moves slightly West, really wanted the High to shift more SE and we would lose these colder winds to some extent.
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16c and 65mm please.
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Night temps have been pretty high while daytime max temps very average or below, plus it’s been windy and cloudy a lot of the time so it gives the impression of below average. No warm settled spells either of course, but I suspect that northwestern areas did better overall.
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2 hours ago, Summer Sun said:
8.3c to the 26th
0.4c above the 61 to 90 average
Bang on the 81 to 10 averageBank!!!
Had high hopes for the recent cold/cool snap, alas it was barely a one day event.
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Could we get close to 9c now I wonder, warming up a bit more for the last few days.
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October 2023 C.E.T. and EWP contests
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Was hoping for somewhere in the 100-110mm range but most likely will be higher now looking at recent model runs, it was looking rather dry for much of the rest of the month just a couple of days ago with the Scandi high moving further west, it just goes to show how quickly things can change,