Rob 79812010
-
Posts
491 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Rob 79812010
-
-
Geordiesnow in 1947 this scenario kept repeating itself. Much colder air in place for the 6 week spell. All sorts of records were broken for snow depths. Guess what, the max snow depth for Manchester that winter was 5cm. The massive boxing day snow of 63, the 79 snow and 2010 snow were very different weather types and it's those that Manchester benefits from. All Irish Sea events I think
-
5
-
-
Joe Bloggs I've heard the shield is when it's more south east wind. Easterly today? I'm on tram into manc willing it to snow. It did briefly. This type of snow event rarely delivers for manc. Was forever thus. Bring on those lovely Irish Sea showers. Thats our fab friend
-
7
-
-
Joe Bloggs Could the shield be when the temperature overall drops. ie as it becomes snowier and colder in Yorkshire, colder over pennines then snow becomes heavier so releases most of its moisture before getting to us. That sounds rubbish doesn't it!!
-
3
-
-
Yorkshire loves these snow events. For some in NW could be a goodun. Not in Manc I fear. On another note, forecasters still bullish with longer term slightly cold to cold. Beeb sticking to their guns as well in monthly. When I look at their forecast for next 14 days though for Manc, what a few days ago were showing 4 to 6 max temps are now showing 8 to 10. Since when is this slightly cold to cold. All this baffles me sometimes
-
4
-
-
James M You're not wrong. Seen it so many times. Snow showers and organised shower bands off Irish sea are best here. Normally our best snow events. Jan 96 and March 18 notable exceptions I think
-
5
-
-
- Popular Post
- Popular Post
All the talk about getting colder through middle to late Feb from all the credible forecasters looking very odd given the output.
-
17
-
1
-
Hoghtonwhite When they come from the south I've always thought they have to hit exceptionally cold air for snow at low levels. There could be other factors I guess buy its difficult to imagine widespread snow tomorrow. Not smelling it am afraid
-
6
-
-
Joe Bloggs I get the broader principle of the shield. How and why it affects specific areas differently I'm not sure. Any knowledge of this I'd love to hear about!
-
7
-
-
Exciting I think for some tomorrow. Joe mentioned the forecast not picking up the shield effect. Tomorrows snow will miss Manchester I'm sure.
A lot of the forecasts keep talking about getting colder through Feb and into March. The Easterly's not really of the cold type from what I can see. Maybe late in the month.
-
5
-
-
-
Joe Snow I think the 96 event was the overnight easterly. Only time I've ever known an easterly deliver such heavy snow. Jan 2010 was 13 cm where I was. Brilliant event. 18 Dec 2010 I think was better the further west you were. We got 3cm from that. It was a front from the west I believe that petered out thr further east you got. Liverpool got a pasting I believe. This winters seems to have some late promise so fingers crossed
-
5
-
-
Joe Snow That amount of snow was always good for where I am. South Manchester. Did you get more with 80's and 90's transitional snowfalls from SW hitting cold air which were more common? The shadow effect meant manchester was always a no no for those. Our legendary snow events of 79 and 2010 from NW Irish Sea snow
-
6
-
-
Joe Snow Funny how close Manchester is to Sandbach and yet 4 to 5cm of snow for Manchester is a major snowfall! Generally snowfalls deliver a couple of cm at best
-
6
-
-
Joe Snow I thought you had good snowfall in Jan?? Mancunions were very happy !
-
2
-
-
Really hope you're right but am thinking second half at this stage
-
1
-
-
@Summer8906 Great when it stays for a while isn't it. Yeah, can imagine they were good years in your area. You had the week in 87 where you had tons of snow and I believe record breaking temperatures for that period??
-
@Summer8906 Yeah, the Easterly snowfalls don't often get over the pennines. And the classic breakdowns from the SW put us in the snow shadow. Its generally the NW Irish Sea streamers that we get. 79 best in my lifetime. 2010 a close second. Those 2 plus the bizarre easterly in Jan 1996 are the only 6 inch falls in my 60 years. We really are in the wrong place. Incredibly in 1947 the max snow depth in manc was only 5cm. The heavy falls were SW to NE driven and like I say they just don't cut it here. I believe 63 we had 9 inches. It was either a NW Irish Sea event or possibly a once in a lifetime true northerly depression as a pose to the useless polar lows!!! What's deepest you've had???
-
1
-
-
We shouldn't be writing off winter yet. Models are showing promise and latest net weather monthly suggesting something 'substantially colder toward mid Feb. In fairness, this has been suggested for a while now
-
3
-
-
Well Well Well! The models starting to show promise. And Net Weather deliver a bombshell no one expected. Second half of Feb we could be talking 'substantially colder' says the monthly forecast
-
6
-
1
-
-
The weather is a strange thing. Just been checking my snow photos and Manc has had decent snowfall for the last 7 years. Very strange given the milder winters we have. More NW incursions now for us. In the cold 80's snow was a rare thing for Manchester. 81 and possibly 86 the exceptions. The easterlies didn't favour us. The 6 inches from the Jan 96 easterly was a one off but memorable. Recent cold spells have been decent compared to 96 to 2008. They were the horror years for me. Its so unpredictable even with a warming planet. Its why we love it
-
Forecasts and models totally baffle me. Just been looking at a gfs model and it shows max for manchester 2 degrees for 4th, 2 degrees for 5th and 2 degrees for 6th Feb. Bbc shows 10 degrees, 10 and 9 for the same days!!!!
-
1
-
1
-
-
Scavenging for a few days more, then the hunt begins I feel
-
1
-
-
10 minutes ago, mulzy said:
Yes, could this be the final nail this winter? Let's hold out hope for something in mid-February but that is looking rather unlikely now. A winter that promised much but delivered little (is that the same every year though?)
The models are often wrong about wintry weather but its not often to see such bullish forecasts from bbc and meto that go so wrong. Hard to see anything much from Feb now
-
1
-
-
9 minutes ago, Rob 79812010 said:
Naughty Met O. Saying 'still a low chance' implies that's what they've been saying all along. They haven't!!!
Just admit the forecasts changed. Not impressed at all
February 1978 - Historic blizzards & freezing cold.
in Historic Weather
Posted
Cant recall whether Manchester had snow from this. Maybe, but it was the following year I remember. Best snow event in my lifetime. 17cm in manc.