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Harry

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Posts posted by Harry

    Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted · Edited by Harry

    The stuff erupting near IOW is now electrified and I have this pile of beauties to my west currently (you can just make out the A380 turning towards Heathrow in front of it). 

    I have a HIIT class between 09:00 and 10:00 and really struggling whether to go, or wait out to see if there are any storms…what to do!!?!?!?!?!?

    Could contain:

    • Like 2

    Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Just now, Azazel said:

    No signs of instability here at all. I think if anything was going to happen before dawn, I would be seeing some subtle signs by now.

    Wouldn’t be so sure Azazel. I’m expecting to see some agitation in the skies as the sun goes down…that’d be the usual form in situations like this. Doesn’t feel particularly humid yet either - dew point to 13C currently. Am expecting that to creep up over the coming hours 👍

    • Like 1

    Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    29 minutes ago, Scuba steve said:

    I’ve noticed convective cloud streets building over central England on sat 24 

    Not surprised - baking hot today. Think we peaked at 29C here. Extremely capped atmosphere currently with no a fleck of cloud to be seen. Expecting some Ac to start developing later ahead of hopefully some action tomorrow morning 🤞

    • Like 1

    Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    32 minutes ago, ChannelThunder said:

    No update from Dan, so guess that confirms tonight is not happening, not that it's looked good since about Monday. What is it with this year and the complete absence of imports? And the wider decline over the last few years...

     

    I think Dan has been unable to post forecasts this past week. It doesn’t mean there isn’t a risk. UKV still going strong for storms to move in through the morning across southern parts, eventually weakening as they move north (ie my area). Further storms then look likely to develop from EA northwards (of course) with the SE under yet another well capped sod all scenario 😫

    • Like 2

    Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted · Edited by Harry

    1 hour ago, Ben Sainsbury said:

    It's great to hear of all your experiences! For me personally, since a very young age I've always been fascinated by thunderstorms. Something about witnessing thunderstorms makes me feel alive. Overhead thunder has only scared me on a handful of occasions; that saying when I went chasing in the States earlier this year, those storms there were a different breed and scared me on another level.

    Went storm chasing in 2010 with the Netweather team and it blew my mind. A marginal risk storm there blew anything I’d seen here out of the water, let alone the High risk day we had in Arkansas/Tennessee which was another level. 
     

    Speaking of startling thunder, last year there was a somewhat impressive cold air May storm while I was working at home. Had the window open to ‘enjoy’ it while I was on a Teams meeting with colleagues. This sudden IC roll of thunder made me jump out of my skin and yell something broadly equating to ‘penetrate me’ while a colleague was talking. Fun times 🤣

    • Like 6

    Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Windblade said:

    Well now this is weird. I used to HATE storms when I was a kid. I was so scared of them, used to literally hide on the stairs/under the bed sheets whenever we used to get a storm. Somewhere along the way during my early teens the fear turned into fascination and I can't get enough of Storms and extreme weather now.

    Like reading a biography of me - totally the same. My fascination flipped after a massive overnight storm in August 1998 (I think possibly the 1st) which TERRIFIED me - extremely close frequent CGs, ear splitting thunder - I remember seeing a fat vivid white CG between the rooftop of my neighbour’s house and the top of my bedroom window and the thunder was an absolute explosion. My Dad encouraged me to get up and watch the storm out of the window but I was too frightened. It was all over the news the next day and the videos were incredible. That’s the exact time I remember feeling like I missed out and have been a storm loon ever since.

    As for this weekend - I’m feeling a little bit optimistic as I think it’s going to turn incredibly humid and unstable and while the models aren’t churning out anything concrete, they certainly didn’t a few weeks ago and we had that blitz of storms across the SE during the morning and modelled CAPE was meagre at best. Hopeful something similar could happen this time too. 

    • Like 5

    Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Windblade said:

    I don't recall this night in 2015 everyone's talking about? The one in 2018 however with the London Supercell was incredible. Funnily enough it completely missed me but I could see it from here to my north west and saw it lighting up every few seconds (no thunder heard). Then about midnight we had an incredible french import with regular green flashes as it approached which transitioned to horizonal purple forks as it came right over my house. Lasted well over a good hour and a half. What a great night and funnily enough my last proper night time storm. Haven't had another one since.👎

    I do remember it I think - started here as popcorn storms - I remember standing in the garden with the odd massive drop of rain and lightning emanating from rapidly growing AcCas. It then grew massively upscale as it drifted north.

    As to the weekend it’s still looking very warm and very humid from what I can see. Looking easily to be the warmest night of the year Friday into Saturday, with overnight lows staying around 19-20C for some. 

    • Like 1

    Storms and Convective discussion - July 2023

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    14 hours ago, CoventryWeather said:

    Not a bad run for the weekend. A plume for the south coast, and central regions on Friday Night, with several rounds of showers and storms until Tuesday. 

    Hopefully we get somewhere with this - and let's hope for an extension of the heat and plume. 

    Only observation I would make is that sometimes (often in my experience) the best storms come from transient plumes, ie those that stick around for 1-2 days or less. You don’t want hot sticky air all the way up the atmosphere or else atmospheric profiles become too warm and moist and clouds struggle to get height. Hot sticky air at low levels with some coolness aloft or at least close by and boom!! 

    • Like 3

    Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    11 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

    So BBC suggesting Thunderstorms in Pickering right now yet we just have drizzle, classic BBC weather 

    It doesn’t surprise me to be honest (albeit clearly wrong lol). The skies around here have a convective look and we have had some very small convective style showers today. Also isn’t bad to hit circa 25C with leaden skies all day (until the past couple of hours). 

    • Like 1
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