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Posts posted by Harry
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11 minutes ago, staplehurst said:
Shortwave swinging northeastwards this evening/tonight likely to continue to set off random showers/storms for a wee while yet.
I confess - I didn’t read your forecast today as I was outdoors watching the storms this morning - then didn’t refer back to it as I didn’t think I’d need to lol
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Lightning west of London now
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Line of torrential looking downpours developing west of London…wasn’t expecting that
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The line of storms that hit us this morning is still going strong over the Netherlands and is crossing into Germany. By my reckoning that line has been electrified for something approaching 17 odd hours which seems impressive to me!
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The weather app keeps chopping and changing regarding a thunder risk in Kent on Sunday
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4 minutes ago, ChannelThunder said:
A more zonal pattern for next week could hopefully lead up to a more classic plume scenario at some point. We haven't seen one for so long, but they used to be so common in July.
By this, I mean the sort of synoptics with a LP to the west of Ireland with an advancing cold front, rather than the cut-off low style plume we've only seen this year so far.Thankfully it’s still only June
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Just when I thought it was moving off, the most biblical downpour and a sudden burst of frequent lightning…blimey! Alleyway now under an inch of water!
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4 minutes ago, Jeffers146 said:
Well there is some potential today in Lincoln for something big this afternoon. Need this band of rain to move through and that strong June sunshine to work some magic.
Question? How come Storms like the ones we are seeing this morning associated with a large area of rain always seem to contain more powerful lightning strikes and louder thunder? Apologies if that’s a silly question but genuinely curious.
Have long thought the same thing. My punt is it is because you have a build up of charge spread over a broader area rather than in a smaller area. So when it collects and builds to the point it discharges, the whole lot goes (bit like a larger powder keg). So, you get fewer flashes, but more powerful ones spread over a great distance. Certainly what’s it’s seemed like here this morning.
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Not had a huge amount of thunder and lightning but that was another huge ground shaking +IC bolt.
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Just saw a massive +IC bolt
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Can hear thunder whoop!
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May have spoken too soon…come on Thor! Do you stuff!
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Well that’s a turn up - looks as though I’m going to be too far west too
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21 minutes ago, ChannelThunder said:
Sferics now over on the N coast of France, you can thank me
That’ll be the 1 or 2 cloud farts then - thanks @ChannelThunder
Got my fingers crossed tonight for some action. Feels warm outside and as if the humidity is on the rise a little (although no obvious scientific signs of this lol).
And for once, I’ll be to the east of the incoming rain…just hope not too far
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That super active storm over N France on its current trajectory is heading Kent way. However, as the tops are spreading north, I’m expecting the lightning component to start taking a more NE track. So far, however, it’s coming this way
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Agreed, looking like it’s just going to be a sticky rainy afternoon for us in the SE. A very active storm has developed over N France in amongst the rain clusters but that’ll probably stay too far east
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I got some thunder and lightning last night and a short spell of convective rain, which was enjoyable. Then had to go to bed around 2:30 just because I was tired, so missed some further outbreaks which is a bit annoying.
The sun is currently out here in N Kent and it is stiflingly warm.
I don’t feel I can call what might pan out. As @staplehurst says the storms over N France could dampen down the risk for some areas, or increase the risk for others (for elevated action).
Definitely the most humid feeling day of the year. If the sun can stay out too that will only help boost chances.
Good luck all
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The whole southern sky just illuminated
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4 minutes ago, Thunders said:
What is that odd smell
Petrichor one of the best smells
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After the light shower we just had, we have immense petrichor. Absolutely stunning…still hoping the Channel cell holds together
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The trajectory of the Channel cell is bang on for us if it can keep going…
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Can see the line of developing storms from here too and saw a gorgeous flash! Looks like there’s more towers building behind it too