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The Eagle

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Everything posted by The Eagle

  1. The Eagle
    WMC not on board? I'm out.
  2. The Eagle
    NAVGEM is on board.
  3. The Eagle
    GFS para run even better to 180
  4. The Eagle
    The control run has the same idea anyway...
  5. The Eagle
    Extraordinary extended JMA.
  6. The Eagle
    Regardless of how good or not the 18z GFS is nothing will be resolved tonight following that ECM run. It's supported closely by NAVGEM and somewhat though less so by ICON. Could be a fundamental change or maybe not. Just have to wait and see.
  7. The Eagle
    168 mean 192
  8. The Eagle
    NAVGEM operational quite close to the ECM So it certainly has support and will have support in the ECM ensembles as well.
  9. The Eagle
    Mountains.
  10. The Eagle
  11. The Eagle
    I wouldn't worry about the ECM operational run. We'll see were it sits in the ensemble suite. At the same time it can't be ignored. If you are worried about it you'll just have to sleep on it until the morning. Most models have us in a good place for a major pattern change this evening.
  12. The Eagle
    Beautiful
  13. The Eagle
    JMA 108
  14. The Eagle
    18z looks a marginal improvement so far for prospects.
  15. The Eagle
  16. The Eagle
    WMC Moscow is a must every day
  17. The Eagle
    18z only runs to 120
  18. The Eagle
    I can never understand why media weather are so keenly quoted here in the model thread when the reality is you have the charts right in front of you. Don't need the BBC or anyone else as a source... #justsayin #thereisnohashtag
  19. The Eagle
    ICON probably coming more in line with the rest of the Euro models which is a further positive on a day of upgrades.
  20. The Eagle
    GFS same, nite.
  21. The Eagle
    UKMO not following the ECM unfortunately. Takes LP with the jet straight through the GIN corridor. Not enough of an angle for a diving low.
  22. The Eagle
    I think we are firmly on course here and the GFS transition is underway as of this evening. It all depends on the modelling of the jet and that low pressure coming out of North America between 144 and 168. I'll stick with ECM consistency but that JMA run is similarly awesome. And there is a lot of other evidence a corner has finally been turned in the long hunt for a substantial pattern change. All good as of now.
  23. The Eagle
    NAVGEM more or less in line with the ECM again. Good jet stream profile, only going one way.
  24. The Eagle
    Tasty evolution on tonight's JMA
  25. The Eagle
    Quite snowy for Ireland at least at 168 with a stalling front. Dryer elsewhere but cold. Need this to evolve further, ECM on it's own a little bit at the moment. UKMO closest.
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