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Everything posted by The Eagle
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
UKMO is not the greatest this afternoon. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'd imagine the ECM at 144 won't go without comment... -
Winter weather chat, moans, banter and ramps
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Depends where you were. A lot of places got a lot of snow. First with the beast which was awesome. Storm Emma gave huge amounts across particularly the sw of the UK and over Ireland but I do recall it cleared the south coast of England northward faster than people would have liked and wasn't a particularly active series of fronts there. I'd have preferred it a bit earlier in the year but it was still a truly awesome event for most. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
While we wait and ponder maybe this will cheer people up from last Feb -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
That's the warming now, today. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
This is the straw we have to grasp, and it looks good enough (not quite as impressive as last Winter though) could be 3 or 4 weeks before this propagates down. We are kind of desperate for a change now. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I think it's a fab model. Those complaining can ignore it if they wish. No one has to use it... -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Top, top model in my opinion. This would be the 4th "coup" in a row. And it only became operational 2 years a go. I think it's a superb model second only to the ECM in Europe. Meteociel even have a dedicated 3d version now. Let's hope it's on the ball again. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
UKMO 120 hrs Similar evolution to ICON. Definitely on an improving trend here for cold. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
ICON was the top performing model by a mile for the spring easterlies and the summer heatwave. It's a fantastic high resolution model since it was released and replaced DWD. Again please! -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Chilly by the 3rd...well poised. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Excellent. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
00z ICON 129 hrs -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Deeper cold air in to eastern europe in the medium term on this run -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
This time last year we were coming off the back of several proper northwesterly incursions and various snow episodes in many locations. This winter so far couldn't be more stark. We are due a bit of luck. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes, looks good at 120 hrs. Very positive. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Is everyone a raging alcoholic here? -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
ICON is the next best and most consistent model after the ECM in my view. Absolutely superb for the Spring easterlies and summer heatwave. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
ICON leading the way as usual but UKMO equally good Just a LITTLE less energy now through the GL - Iceland corridor and we are in. The trend is our friend. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Another positive run on the 18z ICON. Ever so slightly more amplified by 120hrs (only goes to 120 on the 18z) 12z We are definitely trending the right direction all be it it is a slow old process. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Key timeframe is between 120 hrs and 144 hrs. Wouldn't be surprised if this morphed in to a half hearted retrogression of our high toward GL prompting a quicker change than we are anticipating in coming runs. Not as much energy progged through that corridor now. -
Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
The Eagle replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Basically under the influence of the exact same area of high pressure from start to finish on the 18z GFS. Hoping for better in the coming days. Happy Christmas everyone.