MP-R

Get that into the Channel and it could be a half decent, if short lived, snow event. Anything like that, as above posts have alluded too, would be unseasonably windy across the south. Wouldn't be surprised if it halved in intensity between now and then (would certainly hope so anyway!).

If we get lumbered with cool/cold weather in April and May, let's hope it's of the sort that will at least bring us some classic sunshine and shower convective days. From a selfish point of view, I do well for thunder in these types of setups:

The CFS...

Beautiful day this time last year!

The synoptic situation was perfect for the snow that was delivered - a great event it was! It saved last winter from being a dud.

March quite often blows any Jan/Feb gales out of the water so if we're to continue this Atlantic rut into spring, that may be our best chance of 'interesting' stormy weather. Although, I'm sure by then, many will be sick to the back teeth of the Atlantic. Some notable March gales from yesteryear: Maybe even an April gale, like this one in 1994 - looks like a scene right out of early December!

That sounds like a really interesting dissertation. Would love to read your research! Such a shame it’s so often the boring weather patterns that get stuck in a rut. It’s as if our climate is trying to become less extreme.

It would be nice if a runners could bring some wintry interest to break up the boredom. Again, incredible charts for February - very 2014esque! Seems the polar night is lasting longer this year.... Even with downgrades to the strength of these turno lows, they’d still be significant in wind terms. The only plus side is that rain belts would move through pretty quickly rather than get stuck over the country like in the stagnant southwesterly setups.

Quite incredible stuff for February. The PV should’ve started its collapse quite a while ago yet if anything it’s returning to December strength! Can’t see this AND a high pressure dominated February a la UKMO forecast unless the jet pulls well north!

Getting a few glimmers of sunshine, and it feels warm!

A very pleasant month from memory. Chilly start, then a very mild and sunny spell followed by a cold and sunny spell with sharp frosts. I recorded 15C on the 09th and -6C on the 18th. The final week then saw the Atlantic ramp right up bringing a very unsettled March. In fact March brought my lowest ever pressure reading from that bomb on the 10th. I quite enjoyed spring 2008 for its variety from the cold stormy weather in March, to the many April showers days, to the thundery warmth in May, but that's going off topic...

The temp is currently as high now as it has been all day, a bit odd... It hasn't reached 10C since 16th January here but that looks like changing to end this ghastly month. Today was a rare day of interest in a month I can't wait to finish, and throw in the trash weatherwise.

Not surprised. That one just passed me and was very squally. Heavy hail, a brief wet snow period and then lighter sleet. Temp down to 02.4C in its passing.

Sleety shower moving through at the moment. Looked very threatening on approach but quite light ppn overall.

Just another dull day here, with the added bonus of some moderate rain for an hour or so. Looks like clearing fairly soon though. Might squeeze some sunlight in before sunset. Feeling colder too at just under 6C.

It’s always luck of the draw with our weather. Very difficult to know when it’ll do what. Last year we had spring in Feb, the year before snow, the year before the Atlantic switched on midmonth... Ill be away in the southern US for business from the 19th so I can hold my wintry interest until then. After I get back I’ll be in spring mode.

Well obviously but a bit of realism doesn't go amiss. Whether you're looking for winter or not, sunny and chilly beats dull and gloomy - it's a much better holding position while waiting for the goods to arrive.

That chart would at least bring bright blue skies and relatively chilly conditions is heaps better than the current tropical-induced muck we're stuck with most of the time. I'd have thought it be welcomed whether wintry or not. I know the GFS often overdoes warm and cold 850s but there are -6/7 uppers between milder days on recent runs, which even pegged back to -4/5 can bring snow showers to many.

As if the last few days haven’t been revolting enough, we now have rain added to the collection. Yay!

I quite often do in marginal situations. If it’s worth chasing for though, there won’t be any need to go to the Mendips.

Ugh... yawn. All cold Marches tend to be wet too - just what we need...

GFS 12Z continuing the theme of more in the way of high pressure into February after a trashy first few days. Yes please - AS LONG AS IT'S SUNNY! None of the current gloom...

I guess to be expected; often is the case in April-June. Hopefully it won’t bring about a series of unstuck southerly lows off the Atlantic bringing a continued UK monsoon!

Anyone got a bucket? CFS I know, but even the Cold Forecasting System isn't showing any luck for winter weather (although that may be a blessing). That chart looks like February has done a trade deal with early December! A week later - another super high anyone?: All eyes on the 18Z GFS... Edit: Don't look at the 18Z GFS.

Damp and very foggy this morning, just lifting now. Not liking the look of next week’s trash forecast one bit!