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swfc

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Everything posted by swfc

  1. Quite a bit of rutting going on on this thread, bit early isn't it. Fwiw the outlook ive looked at, forecasts, nao, ao, eqbo and up tick in zonal winds would suggest a unsettled outlook. The strenghening el - nino also would bring imo a very unsettled November /december.
  2. From a nhp perspective ec ok even day 10.pv on its bike to a degree altho the rain is still present. Not to bad tho
  3. I dont think any comment in regard to any forecast is knee jerk. Obviously if its minus 20 outside and snowing with a siberian high mild ssw spell isnt imminent. The meto forcast eb and flow line the longerange ec etc. Looking at the output in november it looks unsettled for most. Pretty normal in November but stressing over outlooks into the core of winter is a waste of energy and sanity. Enjoy your sunday
  4. Its quite a large change from this morning. Would 48/72 hrs be more of a trend
  5. Well Sheffield has just had its wettest October for over 130 years. Could find november none to dry also.
  6. Gfs 12z looks like a bog standard autumnal outlook. Whether there are any synoptics well into november or Dec on the ec etc best keep that powder dry and stick with the reliable time frames
  7. Evening. Ten days or so ago the nhp looked full of heights to the nne. The switch as been flicked and the pv has woken. Not a great week ten days ie rain amounts ete but not long fetch sw winds. Hopefully November will bring a change ie meto longrange
  8. According to the uk. Gov site john the levels are dropping which is odd given the rain is falling still and all the catchment areas???
  9. Good morning. Looking at nhp and synoptics on offer heading to late October im struggling to see any concerns are merited atm. Eqbo on the cards, nao app going neutral into november. What is shown on the Mo is subject to huge swings has shown with the retrogression runs towards greendland earliee in the week.
  10. Looking into october i really like the projected look at the nhp especially to our nne. Granted 7 days is a long time on thevMo but nor really your bog standard west to east patterns
  11. Yes don i think you may be correct there. The build of our old friend the euro high may be ready to pounce
  12. Well im off tp see nile rodgers and chic on monday in Bridlington. Couple of days there and weather looks shocking. Thank the lord for pubs
  13. App - 10 tonight and snow tom here. Milder sunday and cold monday next week. Bank
  14. Snow starting to become light here. 26 hours snow and 12/13 inch on back gardens. Not bad
  15. Tbh Ed if we lower the bar any lower wel be drinking a pint on floor! Barring a short snap in December it's been bang average unless frost floats your boat.
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