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swfc

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Everything posted by swfc

  1. Yes a long way out and imo the nhp and projected synoptics does seem want to water down the temps /850s. Lots to come tho but a valid point
  2. Christ wev now got "upper gate" Is the output that bad for late November for all this shenanigans Anyway ec looks fine imo and a lot cleaner ie the nhp
  3. Yes a lot of angst on 1 set of runs. In reality if your hyping over the 0z and desolate after the 6z best option imo is to go 24 hrs before slipping into panic mode. Remember" least said, soonest mended "Enjoy your day
  4. The 850s from norway etc are way to modified for late november sst wise. Solar output isnt changing that. Theres the ido to content with which is a bigger player
  5. Good post. Whatever the background signals are the atmosphere will do its dance. Hence a 48 hour forcast ie sliders/rain-snow are projections
  6. Hmm gfs 12z at day ten looks epic with the heights to the north and low pressure across the uk etc. Now if it was January
  7. There never going to be great tbh late November without a quick track easterly
  8. Indeed its a good base and starting point come mid/late December
  9. There not a based pressure reading. The topography and heighths are misleading
  10. The sst in the north sea are actually an issue in moderating 850s from norway etc. Obviously being late autumn dosnt help but a direct strengthening easerly would help ie wintry precipitation
  11. Yes your correct. It's great heading into december but snowfall etc
  12. 850s and north sea dont really look conjusive for snow tbh. Slack flow etc
  13. Well he must be a prophet Met office forecast are wt best hit and miss but if it floats your boat. Im sure big Joe has similar ideas
  14. Spot on Honestly slow down and see what nhp looks like in 3 days, makes sense
  15. Tbh id take some deep breathes and see what the next 48/72 hrs bring. Very volatile output which may induce joy or disappointment. Great outlook tho"atm"
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